Point Clare Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Point Clare NSW Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Point Clare, NSW 2250 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 51/100 — Hold
Point Clare rates as "Hold" due to weak growth indicators.
Point Clare sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 51 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the NSW market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $1,030,000 Median unit price: N/A Median weekly rent: $0/week Days on market: 30 days (stable)
Point Clare sits within the mid-market segment in the NSW property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 30 days on market, suggesting balanced supply-demand dynamics.
Comparable suburbs: - Wollongong (NSW): Median $1,300,000, yield 2.4%, 1yr growth 4.0% - Marsden Park (NSW): Median $1,200,000, yield 3.5%, 1yr growth 5.8% - Mittagong (NSW): Median $1,100,000, yield 3.2%, 1yr growth 12.9%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 3.5% Net rental yield: 2.0% Vacancy rate: 3.0% (stable) Rental demand: Moderate
The rental market in Point Clare is characterised by moderate demand with a vacancy rate of 3.0%, which is above the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending stable, maintaining steady conditions.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $195 with an estimated occupancy of 68%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $48,399 before expenses.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): 1.5% Price CAGR (5yr): 1.6% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 1.8% Supply pipeline: Moderate
Development activity consistent with long-term averages
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Standard suburban transport access
If Point Clare maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,184,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (1.5% growth, 3.0% vacancy, 3.5% yield), Point Clare offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Moderate
Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $5,482/month - At 8%: $6,046/month - At 9%: $6,630/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Point Clare pull back 10-15% from $1,030,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: High Safety score: 7.0/10 Walkability: 50/100 Owner-occupied: 50%
Schools: - Point Clare Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Point Clare East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Point Clare West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Point Clare High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10
Point Clare is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 50% owner-occupier rate suggests a healthy mix of owners and renters.
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RECOMMENDATION — HOLD
Point Clare offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk.
Conditions: Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $927,000 - 1,133,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Point Clare market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.