Pymble Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Pymble NSW Investment Analysis
HOLD
— 2.1% gross yield on a $3,700,000 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Pymble sits at $3,700,000 with 32 days on market and a 0.6% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- **Median house:** $3,700,000 | **Units:** $685,393 - **Gross yield:** 2.1% | **Net yield:** 0.6% - **Vacancy:** 0.6% (worsening) | **Rental demand:** Very High - **5yr price growth:** -1.6%/yr | **3yr forecast:** -1.8%/yr - **Days on market:** 32 (stable)
STR potential: $195/night at 68% occupancy = ~$48,399/yr gross. Long-term at $78,000/yr may be simpler with comparable returns.
BULL CASE
If Pymble maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $4,255,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
Notable infrastructure: **Pymble Station Upgrade** (completed). Plus 2 more projects in the pipeline.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Pymble pull back 10-15% from $3,700,000, with vacancy rising to 1.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
Pymble offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a correction phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $3,330,000 – $4,070,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.