Smeaton Grange NSW Property Investment
Campbelltown (NSW) · 2567 · Score: 65/100 · Buy
Smeaton Grange NSW Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the suburb scores 65.0 / 100 on the Estait Investment Scorecard, the highest single figure that justifies the recommendation.
## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $1,407,197 (based on limited recent sales). - Growth trend & days on market: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price momentum or how quickly listings are selling.
Signal: With a median house price in the $1.4 m range, buyers need to target properties at or below this level to obtain a reasonable entry point. Sellers must price competitively, as the market’s depth is unclear without days‑on‑market data.
## 3. Rental Market The supplied data does not include vacancy rates, weekly rents, gross yields, or a formal demand rating for Smeaton Grange.
Implication: Investors should obtain current rental statistics before committing. A low vacancy rate and a gross yield that meets or exceeds their hurdle rate would be essential to confirm the suburb’s attractiveness.
## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity No STR metrics (nightly rate, occupancy, estimated annual revenue) are provided.
Implication: Without concrete STR data, we cannot determine whether a long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) strategy would generate higher returns. Prospective investors should research local STR performance before deciding.
## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The data set does not list any specific infrastructure projects, transport upgrades, or major employers in Smeaton Grange.
Implication: Demand drivers remain unknown from the supplied information. Investors should investigate local council plans, transport links, and employment hubs to gauge future growth potential.
## 6. Bull Case Assuming the suburb maintains its current appeal and the broader market continues to perform, the 65 / 100 score suggests room for upside. If property values were to rise modestly (e.g., 4‑5 % annually), a house priced at the approximate median of $1,407,197 could reach $1,463,000 – $1,477,000 within 12 months, delivering capital growth in addition to any rental income.
## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: No vacancy data is available; a higher-than‑expected vacancy could erode cash flow. - Employer concentration: No information on a dominant local employer; reliance on a single large employer would increase risk if that business contracts. - Supply pipeline: Absence of data on upcoming developments means a sudden increase in supply could pressure prices and rents. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: As with any high‑value property, rising rates could affect borrowing costs and investor returns.
## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target properties priced at or below the approximate median house price of $1,407,197. - Minimum yield to target: Aim for a gross rental yield of 4 % or higher (subject to confirming actual weekly rents and vacancy rates). - Watch signals: 1. Release of any new median price data or sales activity. 2. Announcement of infrastructure or transport projects. 3. Changes in local employment figures. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a house at or under the median price, hold for medium‑ to long‑term capital growth, and generate income through a long‑term rental while monitoring the market for any emerging STR opportunities.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
medium confidenceBasis: 3yr growth 7.5% (discounted)
- +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (6809 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,678
2020
1,679
2021
1,217
2022
1,030
2023
1,205
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2567
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
40,951
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
10/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Smeaton Grange NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $720/wk median rent for Smeaton Grange. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.