Smeaton Grange NSW Property Investment

Campbelltown (NSW) · 2567 · Score: 65/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.41M
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$720/wk
Median Unit Price
$738K
Population
16
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
-23.4%
AI Investment Analysis

Smeaton Grange NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the suburb scores 65.0 / 100 on the Estait Investment Scorecard, the highest single figure that justifies the recommendation.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $1,407,197 (based on limited recent sales). - Growth trend & days on market: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price momentum or how quickly listings are selling.

Signal: With a median house price in the $1.4 m range, buyers need to target properties at or below this level to obtain a reasonable entry point. Sellers must price competitively, as the market’s depth is unclear without days‑on‑market data.

## 3. Rental Market The supplied data does not include vacancy rates, weekly rents, gross yields, or a formal demand rating for Smeaton Grange.

Implication: Investors should obtain current rental statistics before committing. A low vacancy rate and a gross yield that meets or exceeds their hurdle rate would be essential to confirm the suburb’s attractiveness.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity No STR metrics (nightly rate, occupancy, estimated annual revenue) are provided.

Implication: Without concrete STR data, we cannot determine whether a long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) strategy would generate higher returns. Prospective investors should research local STR performance before deciding.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The data set does not list any specific infrastructure projects, transport upgrades, or major employers in Smeaton Grange.

Implication: Demand drivers remain unknown from the supplied information. Investors should investigate local council plans, transport links, and employment hubs to gauge future growth potential.

## 6. Bull Case Assuming the suburb maintains its current appeal and the broader market continues to perform, the 65 / 100 score suggests room for upside. If property values were to rise modestly (e.g., 4‑5 % annually), a house priced at the approximate median of $1,407,197 could reach $1,463,000 – $1,477,000 within 12 months, delivering capital growth in addition to any rental income.

## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: No vacancy data is available; a higher-than‑expected vacancy could erode cash flow. - Employer concentration: No information on a dominant local employer; reliance on a single large employer would increase risk if that business contracts. - Supply pipeline: Absence of data on upcoming developments means a sudden increase in supply could pressure prices and rents. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: As with any high‑value property, rising rates could affect borrowing costs and investor returns.

## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target properties priced at or below the approximate median house price of $1,407,197. - Minimum yield to target: Aim for a gross rental yield of 4 % or higher (subject to confirming actual weekly rents and vacancy rates). - Watch signals: 1. Release of any new median price data or sales activity. 2. Announcement of infrastructure or transport projects. 3. Changes in local employment figures. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a house at or under the median price, hold for medium‑ to long‑term capital growth, and generate income through a long‑term rental while monitoring the market for any emerging STR opportunities.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Above-average capital growth (7.5% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (6809 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 3yr growth 7.5% (discounted)

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (6809 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green5 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
720 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-3.81 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.28 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-23.4 medium impact
Population Growth
1.24 high impact
Median Household Income
2423 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
45.63 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
77.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.66 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.16 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,678

2020

1,679

2021

1,217

2022

1,030

2023

1,205

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2567

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

40,951

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Smeaton Grange NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $720/wk median rent for Smeaton Grange. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Narellan Vale PS
PrimaryGovernment
6/10
Elizabeth Macarthur HS
SecondaryGovernment
6.2/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.