South Coogee NSW Property Investment

Randwick · 2034 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$3.20M
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1950/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.39M
Population
5,611
Days on Market
83 days
Annual Growth
22.7%

South Coogee Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$972/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$142K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

South Coogee NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard of 70.0 / 100 is the key figure that drives the recommendation.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $1,400,000–$1,800,000 (peer sources disagree by >10%; use the full range). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

Signal: With a premium price band, sellers sit in a strong position. Buyers must be prepared for a high entry cost and should verify recent price momentum before committing.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot quantify yield or demand, so investors should obtain current rental data before assessing cash‑flow viability.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

Conclusion: Insufficient data to compare Long‑Term Rental (LTR) versus Short‑Term Rental (STR). Prospective buyers should conduct a separate STR feasibility study.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

Drivers/Limits: No specific information is available, so investors should research upcoming council developments, transport upgrades (e.g., bus or train services), and local employment hubs that could influence demand.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb maintains or improves its premium positioning:

  • Potential upside: a 5‑10 % rise in median house price could lift the range to roughly $1,470,000–$1,980,000.
  • Rental yield improvement: assuming a weekly rent of $800 (hypothetical) and a purchase price at the lower end of the range, gross yield could approach 2.9 %.

*All figures are illustrative; actual outcomes depend on real‑time market data.*

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Concern (where available) | |------|--------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data supplied – investors must verify current vacancy levels. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment concentration data – check for reliance on any major local employer. | | Supply pipeline | No information on upcoming housing supply – monitor council planning registers for new approvals. | | Rate sensitivity | With a purchase price between $1.4 m and $1.8 m, the suburb is highly sensitive to interest‑rate movements; a 1 % rate rise could add roughly $14,000–$18,000 to annual mortgage costs (principal‑and‑interest on a 30‑year loan). |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: target purchases near the lower bound of the price band, around $1,400,000. - Minimum yield to target: aim for a gross yield of ≥ 3 % (requires weekly rent of ≈ $800 on a $1.4 m purchase). - Watch signals: 1. Confirmation of a stable or falling days‑on‑market metric. 2. Emerging rental data showing vacancy < 3 % and weekly rents ≥ $800. 3. Announcement of infrastructure projects (e.g., transport upgrades) that could boost demand. - Recommended strategy: acquire a property at the lower end of the price range, secure a tenant (or STR licence) that delivers at least a 3 % gross yield, and hold for 3‑5 years while monitoring the above signals for upside or the need to exit.

*All analysis is strictly based on the supplied data; further due‑diligence is essential before proceeding.*

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Above-average capital growth (7.3% CAGR)
▲Inner/middle ring location (8.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
▲High renter base (52%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
▲Active development pipeline (1676 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
5.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.3% + 10yr CAGR 7.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −Population decline (-0.5%/yr) — demand headwind
  • −Slow market (83 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (1676 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

10 green1 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
83 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1950 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
7.35 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.9 high impact
1yr Price Growth
22.7 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.45 high impact
Median Household Income
2796 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.6 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
8.49 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
44.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.67 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.17 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

336

2020

289

2021

318

2022

482

2023

251

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2034

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

20,249

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on South Coogee NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1950/wk median rent for South Coogee. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Sth Coogee PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.9/10
Randwick HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.