South Coogee NSW Property Investment

Randwick · 2034 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$3.20M
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$2000/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.47M
Population
5,611
Days on Market
83 days
Annual Growth
22.7%

South Coogee Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$971.94/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$142K
AI Investment Analysis

South Coogee NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the single most important number is the Investment Scorecard of 70.0 / 100.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: the data block does not contain a complete range, so the exact median cannot be quoted. - Growth trend & days on market: not supplied in the data set.

*What this means:* the 70‑point scorecard already reflects a favourable market assessment, so buyers should move quickly to secure a property, while sellers can expect solid interest.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not provided. - Weekly rent: not provided. - Gross yield: not provided. - Demand rating: not provided.

*Implication for investors:* the buy rating suggests that rental fundamentals are at least neutral‑to‑positive, but you will need to verify vacancy and yield figures before committing.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not provided. - Occupancy: not provided. - Estimated annual revenue: not provided.

*Conclusion:* with no STR data available, the default assumption is to treat the property as a long‑term rental until a detailed short‑term analysis can be performed.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

*Driver assessment:* the buy score implies that existing infrastructure and employment conditions are supportive, but you should confirm any upcoming developments that could boost demand.

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## 6. Bull Case If the underlying assumptions that produced the 70‑point scorecard hold or improve (e.g., stronger price growth, tighter rentals, new infrastructure), capital appreciation could outpace the current median range and yields could rise. Specific upside figures cannot be modelled without concrete price, rent or yield data.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Data‑based indicator | |------|----------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy figure supplied – a rise could erode cash flow. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment breakdown provided – concentration risk cannot be quantified. | | Supply pipeline | No information on upcoming housing supply – an influx could pressure prices and rents. | | Rate sensitivity | Standard interest‑rate exposure applies; higher rates would increase borrowing costs and could dampen price growth. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: not disclosed in the data set; aim for the lower end of any available price band to protect upside. - Minimum yield target: without rent data, set a provisional target of ≥ 4 % gross yield pending verification. - Watch signals: release of official median price range, vacancy statistics, any announced infrastructure projects, and changes to the Investment Scorecard. - Recommended strategy: acquire at a price that delivers the provisional yield, hold for capital growth, and reassess once detailed rental and market metrics become available.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.0% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (8.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (52%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (1676 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
5.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.0% + 10yr CAGR 7.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.5%/yr) — demand headwind
  • Slow market (83 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (1676 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green2 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
83 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
2000 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.97 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.89 high impact
1yr Price Growth
22.7 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.45 high impact
Median Household Income
2796 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.6 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
8.49 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
44.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.69 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.19 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

336

2020

289

2021

318

2022

482

2023

251

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2034

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

20,249

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on South Coogee NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $2000/wk median rent for South Coogee. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Sth Coogee PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.9/10
Randwick HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.