South Murwillumbah NSW Property Investment

Kyogle · 2484 · Score: 58/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$790K
Rental Yield
4.8%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$762/wk
Median Unit Price
$811K
Population
1,064
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
11.1%

South Murwillumbah Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$444/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$105K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

South Murwillumbah NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard rates South Murwillumbah at 58.0 / 100, placing it in the mid‑range and signalling a neutral stance.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median price: The market data only tells us that a median price range exists, but the exact figures are not supplied. - Growth trend: No price‑growth statistics are provided. - Days on market: Not disclosed.

Signal: With no concrete price, growth or liquidity metrics, the market appears data‑thin. Buyers and sellers currently have limited information to gauge bargaining power, so the suburb sits in a “wait‑and‑see” zone.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: Not provided. - Weekly rent: Not provided. - Gross yield: Cannot be calculated without rent and price data. - Demand rating: Not supplied.

Implication: The absence of rental‑market numbers means investors cannot reliably assess cash‑flow potential at this stage. Any decision should be based on broader regional trends rather than suburb‑specific rental data.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: Not provided. - Occupancy rate: Not provided. - Estimated annual revenue: Cannot be estimated without the two figures above.

Conclusion: With no STR metrics, we cannot determine whether long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) would deliver a superior return. Investors should treat STR as an untested option until local data emerges.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers No specific projects, transport upgrades, or major employers are listed for South Murwillumbah. Consequently, we cannot identify any concrete demand catalysts or constraints.

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## 6. Bull Case If future data releases reveal:

  • A rising median price toward the upper end of the (undisclosed) range,
  • Strong rental demand that lifts weekly rents, and
  • New infrastructure or employment projects,

then capital growth and yield could improve markedly. Without numbers, the bull case remains speculative.

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## 7. Risks 1. Data scarcity risk – the lack of published vacancy, rent, and price figures makes it difficult to model cash flow or price appreciation. 2. Economic sensitivity – as with any regional market, changes in interest rates or broader economic conditions could affect affordability and demand. 3. Supply uncertainty – without a known pipeline of new dwellings, we cannot gauge future oversupply risk.

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Undefined until median price data is released. - Minimum yield target: Unable to set a concrete target without rent and price figures; investors should aim for a yield that comfortably exceeds their cost of capital once data is available. - Watch signals: Publication of median price range, vacancy statistics, weekly rent levels, and any announced infrastructure or employment projects. - Recommended strategy: Adopt a monitor‑and‑wait approach. Hold any existing exposure while gathering the missing market metrics. When reliable price and rental data appear, re‑run the yield and growth calculations to decide whether to increase exposure, maintain the hold, or exit.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Strong capital growth (15.1% CAGR) — above national average
▲Active development pipeline (107 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
12.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
11.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
10.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 15.1% + 10yr CAGR 11.2%

Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (107 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green9 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
762 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
15.06 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
11.24 high impact
1yr Price Growth
11.1 medium impact
Population Growth
1.25 high impact
Median Household Income
1263 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
4.2 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
649.36 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.75 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.25 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

28

2020

19

2021

13

2022

22

2023

25

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2484

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

20,083

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on South Murwillumbah NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $762/wk median rent for South Murwillumbah. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Murwillumbah EPS
PrimaryGovernment
4.7/10
Murwillumbah HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.