Spring Hill NSW Property Investment

Wollongong · 2800 · Score: 59/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$792K
Rental Yield
3.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$570/wk
Median Unit Price
$607K
Population
48,283
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
-13.3%

Spring Hill Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$468/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$68K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Spring Hill NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the single most important number is the approximate median house price of $792,436. The Investment Scorecard (59 / 100) also points to a neutral stance.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approx $792,436 - Median unit price: $607 (the figure is incomplete; we cannot interpret it further)

The median is based on a limited number of recent sales, so it should be treated as an approximation, not a firm market anchor. Because the data set is small, we cannot calculate a reliable growth trend or average days on market.

Signal for buyers: the lack of recent sales suggests limited inventory and a need for caution when pricing offers. Signal for sellers: the same scarcity may allow sellers to command prices close to the approximate median, but they should be prepared for longer marketing times if buyer confidence is low.

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## 3. Rental Market No rental‑specific data (vacancy rate, weekly rent, gross yield, demand rating) is supplied for Spring Hill. Without these figures we cannot quantify rental income or yield, nor can we assign a demand rating.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity The dataset does not include nightly STR rates, occupancy percentages, or estimated annual revenue. Consequently we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) performance for this suburb.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The provided information contains no details on:

* current or planned infrastructure projects, * transport upgrades, * major employment hubs, or * other demand catalysts.

Because of this data gap we cannot identify specific drivers or constraints on future demand.

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## 6. Bull Case If the market attracts more buyers and sales data becomes robust, price appreciation could follow broader regional trends. As a scenario only, a 10 % rise in the median house price would lift it to roughly $872,000. This would generate capital‑gain upside for owners who entered near the current approximate median.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Why it matters (with available numbers) | |------|------------------------------------------| | Limited sales data | The median is derived from a small sample, increasing price uncertainty. | | Vacancy uncertainty | No vacancy rate is supplied; a high vacancy could erode cash flow. | | Rental‑income unknown | Without weekly rent or yield data, investors cannot benchmark returns. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | As with any property, higher rates could suppress buyer demand and stretch affordability. | | Supply pipeline unknown | No information on upcoming developments; a sudden influx of new dwellings could pressure prices and rents. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: around the approximate median house price of $792,436 (for houses). - Minimum yield target: cannot be set until reliable rental data (weekly rent, vacancy) becomes available. - Watch signals: * An increase in the number of recent sales, giving a clearer median. * Publication of vacancy and rental‑rate figures for the suburb. * Announcement of any infrastructure or employment projects. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a hold position. Monitor the market for additional sales and rental data; if a clear upward price trend or solid rental yields emerge, consider adding to the portfolio. If data remains thin and price growth stalls, reassess the holding decision.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
—Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
▲Strong capital growth (23.6% CAGR) — above national average
▲Active development pipeline (6738 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
14.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 23.6% + 10yr CAGR 27.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (6738 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green5 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
570 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
23.63 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
27.19 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-13.3 medium impact
Population Growth
1.42 high impact
Median Household Income
1713 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
110.78 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
66.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.74 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.24 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,211

2020

1,385

2021

1,228

2022

1,346

2023

1,568

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2800

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

48,283

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Spring Hill NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $570/wk median rent for Spring Hill. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Oberon PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.9/10
Oberon HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.