Tallong NSW Property Investment

Upper Lachlan · 2579 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.04M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$550/wk
Median Unit Price
$398K
Population
914
Days on Market
75 days
Annual Growth
-5.6%

Tallong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$775/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$113K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Tallong NSW Investment Brief

HOLD — $1,037,813 (pending peer validation) median with 15.4%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Tallong has compounded at 15.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,037,813 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 75 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $1,037,813 (pending peer validation) | Units: $397,823
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 15.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 11.8%/yr
  • Population: 914 | Owner-occupier rate: 82% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 75 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $775/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$113,205/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $28,600/yr (+296% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Tallong station 0.3km away

BULL CASE

If Tallong maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,193,485 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tallong pull back 10-15% from $1,037,813, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Bidwill (NSW): $893,265 median, 3.0% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
  • Dharruk (NSW): $893,474 median, 3.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Tregear (NSW): $881,536 median, 3.0% yield, 11.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Tallong offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $934,032 – $1,141,594
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
—Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
▲Strong capital growth (15.4% CAGR) — above national average

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
11.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
10.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
9.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 15.4% + 10yr CAGR 5.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.9%/yr) driving demand
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (75 days avg) — buyer hesitancy

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green5 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
75 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
550 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
15.45 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.13 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-5.6 medium impact
Population Growth
2.89 high impact
Median Household Income
1589 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
139.95 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
81.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.76 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.26 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2579

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

4,646

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Tallong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Tallong. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Tallong PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.8/10
Mulwaree HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.