Tanilba Bay NSW Property Investment

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $778,046 - Median unit price: $611,659 - 1‑year price growth: 12.0 % - 5‑year CAGR: 6.0 % per year - 3‑year growth forecast: 13.5 % - Days on market: *Data not provided*

What it signals - The 12 % price rise over the past year and a 13.5 % forecast for the next three years indicate a seller‑friendly environment. - Buyers face higher entry prices but can still benefit from solid capital‑growth potential if they can secure a property at or below the median.

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## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $615 / wk - Gross rental yield: 4.1 % - Vacancy rate: *Data not provided* - Demand rating: *Data not provided*

Implication for investors A 4.1 % yield sits above the national average for many capital cities, suggesting a reasonable cash‑flow buffer. Without vacancy data we cannot quantify risk, but the yield alone makes the suburb attractive for long‑term rental (LTR) investors.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not provided* - STR occupancy: *Data not provided* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *Data not provided*

LTR vs STR Because STR metrics are unavailable, we cannot model a reliable short‑term return. With a solid 4.1 % LTR yield and no STR data, the safer choice is to focus on long‑term rentals.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport, employment base: *Data not provided*

Demand drivers / constraints Without specific infrastructure or employment information, we must rely on the strong price‑growth figures as the primary indicator that demand is currently robust.

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## 6. Bull Case If the 13.5 % three‑year growth forecast materialises:

*Simple percentage increase applied to current median values.

Capital growth of roughly $100k–$120k per property would boost investor equity and total returns.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (with numbers) | |------|-----------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data – a rise in empty weeks could erode the 4.1 % yield. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment data – if the local job market relies heavily on one sector, a downturn could suppress rent and price growth. | | Supply pipeline | No data on new builds – an influx of new housing could increase competition and push yields lower. | | Rate sensitivity | With a 12 % recent price rise, higher interest rates could reduce buyer affordability and slow price momentum. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: $611,659 (median unit) – $778,046 (median house). Target properties at the lower end of this band to maximise upside. - Minimum yield target: ≥ 4.1 % gross (or higher if you can negotiate a discount). - Watch signals: - Any published vacancy rate for the suburb. - Updates on local infrastructure or employment projects. - Changes in days‑on‑market trends. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property near the median unit price, lock in a lease at or above $615 / wk, and hold for 3–5 years to capture the projected 13.5 % capital growth while enjoying a stable 4 %+ rental yield. If reliable STR data emerges later, reassess the LTR vs STR balance.