The Channon NSW Property Investment

Ballina · 2480 · Score: 48/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$804K
Rental Yield
3.9%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$432K
Population
325
Days on Market
65 days
Annual Growth
-12.6%

The Channon Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$486/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$71K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

The Channon NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard of 48.0 / 100 flags caution and suggests that the suburb is not yet a clear‑cut buy.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $803,897 (based on limited recent sales). - Median unit price: not supplied. - Growth trend / days on market: not supplied in the data set.

*Interpretation:* With only a single, approximate median house price and no evidence of recent price movement or turnover speed, the market appears thin. Buyers currently hold more negotiating power because sellers have limited recent sales to reference.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Interpretation:* The absence of rental metrics, combined with a cautionary score of 48, suggests that rental returns may be modest or uncertain. Investors should treat the rental market as a potential risk until concrete data becomes available.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy rate: not supplied. - Estimated annual STR revenue: not supplied.

*Interpretation:* Without STR data, we cannot quantify the revenue potential. Given the limited sales activity and the low investment score, a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy would likely be safer than a short‑term rental (STR) approach at this stage.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

*Interpretation:* The lack of disclosed infrastructure or employment drivers means there is no clear catalyst to boost demand in the near term. Investors should watch for any announced projects or transport upgrades that could change the suburb’s outlook.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb attracts new infrastructure, a surge in buyer interest, or a rise in rental demand, the following upside could materialise:

  • Capital growth: a modest increase from the current approximate median house price of $803,897 to around $850,000–$900,000 (a 5–12 % rise).
  • Rental yield: should vacancy fall and weekly rent rise, a gross yield of 4 %–5 % could become achievable.

These figures are illustrative only and depend on future data that is not currently available.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (where data exists) | |------|----------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data; the low investment score hints at possible oversupply or weak demand. | | Single‑employer dependency | Employment base not disclosed; any reliance on a dominant local employer would increase risk. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new developments; a sudden influx of new dwellings could pressure prices and rents. | | Rate sensitivity | With a median house price near $800k, higher interest rates could reduce buyer affordability and dampen price growth. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: aim around the approximate median house price of $803,897 (or slightly below to build a margin of safety). - Minimum yield target: seek at least 4 % gross yield once reliable rental data becomes available. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of updated median unit price. 2. Announcement of transport or infrastructure projects. 3. Release of vacancy and rent figures showing a downward vacancy trend or rising rents. - Recommended strategy: adopt a cautious hold. Acquire only if you can purchase below the approximate median and if you can secure a tenant at a rent that delivers the 4 % yield target. Monitor the suburb for new data releases before committing additional capital.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Active development pipeline (1596 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
1.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.0% + 10yr CAGR 3.1%

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (65 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (1596 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green7 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
65 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.02 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.07 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-12.6 medium impact
Population Growth
0.59 high impact
Median Household Income
1326 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
611.07 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.88 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.38 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

433

2020

361

2021

270

2022

310

2023

222

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2480

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

45,938

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on The Channon NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for The Channon. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

The Channon PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.9/10
TRSC Richmond River
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.