Tighes Hill NSW Property Investment

Newcastle · 2297 · Score: 65/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.09M
Rental Yield
3.6%
Vacancy Rate
2.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$750/wk
Median Unit Price
$902K
Population
1,801
Days on Market
13 days
Annual Growth
-8.8%

Tighes Hill Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$739/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$108K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Tighes Hill NSW Investment Brief

BUY — $1,091,393 (pending peer validation) median with 10.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Tighes Hill has compounded at 10.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,091,393 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 13 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $1,091,393 (pending peer validation) | Units: $901,730
  • Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 10.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,801 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.9% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $750/wk | Days on market: 13 (improving)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $739/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$107,830/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $39,000/yr (+176% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Newcastle Inner City Bypass (Under Construction)
  • Hunter Valley Coal Chain Capacity Expansion (Under Procurement)
  • Transport: Hamilton Station station 1.7km away

BULL CASE

If Tighes Hill maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $1,255,102 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tighes Hill pull back 10-15% from $1,091,393, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Cabramatta West (NSW): $1,231,328 median, 2.9% yield, 7.8% 1yr growth
  • Guildford West (NSW): $1,243,404 median, 3.4% yield, 8.8% 1yr growth
  • Lansvale (NSW): $1,153,058 median, 3.4% yield, 11.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Tighes Hill presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $982,254 – $1,200,532
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Strong capital growth (10.9% CAGR) — above national average
▲Active development pipeline (4922 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
10.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
9.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
8.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 10.9% + 10yr CAGR 10.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Fast sales (13 days avg) — strong buyer demand
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (4922 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green5 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.9 high impact
Days on Market
13 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
750 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
10.95 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
10.04 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-8.8 medium impact
Population Growth
1.4 high impact
Median Household Income
2084 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.9 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
118.64 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
63.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.57 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.07 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,561

2020

1,138

2021

600

2022

696

2023

927

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2297

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

1,801

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Tighes Hill NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $750/wk median rent for Tighes Hill. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Tighes Hill PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.2/10
Callaghan Jesmond
SecondaryGovernment
No data
Callaghan Waratah Tech
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.