Timbumburi NSW Property Investment
Liverpool Plains · 2340 · Score: 51/100 · Hold
Timbumburi Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Timbumburi NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — $1,100,000–$2,450,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 14.3%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Timbumburi has compounded at 14.3%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,100,000–$2,450,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 43 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,100,000–$2,450,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $344,500
- Gross yield: 1.0% | Net yield: -0.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 14.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 12.9%/yr
- Population: 122 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $480/wk | Days on market: 43 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $460/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$67,188/yr
- vs long-term rent: $24,960/yr (+169% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Timbumburi maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $2,817,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Timbumburi pull back 10-15% from $2,450,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
- - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Long Point (NSW): $2,700,000 median, 1.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth
- Campsie (NSW): $1,755,686 median, 2.5% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
- Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Timbumburi offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $2,205,000 – $2,695,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 14.3% + 10yr CAGR 7.5%
- −Moderate supply pipeline (60 approvals)
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
10
2020
14
2021
10
2022
20
2023
6
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2340
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
52,436
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Timbumburi NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $480/wk median rent for Timbumburi. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Timbumburi
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.