Ulladulla NSW Property Investment

Shoalhaven · 2539 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$914K
Rental Yield
3.4%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$725K
Population
7,262
Days on Market
120 days
Annual Growth
3.0%

Ulladulla Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$477/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$70K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Ulladulla NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the 3.4 % gross rental yield, which signals modest but stable cash‑flow potential.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $913,500 - Median unit price: $725,000 - 1‑year price growth: 3.0 % - 5‑year CAGR: 13.1 % per year - 3‑year growth forecast: 13.5 %

The market has delivered solid long‑term appreciation (13.1 % CAGR) while only modestly increasing in the past year (3.0 %). This mix suggests a balanced environment – sellers can still command price growth, but buyers benefit from a relatively low recent increase, keeping entry points reasonable. *Days on market* is not supplied, so we cannot comment on the speed of transactions.

## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $600 / wk - Gross rental yield: 3.4 %

Vacancy rate and demand rating are not provided, so we cannot quantify those metrics. The 3.4 % yield, combined with a $600 weekly rent, indicates steady rental income that covers a portion of financing costs but does not deliver high cash‑flow upside.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity No data on nightly STR rates, occupancy, or estimated annual revenue are supplied. Consequently we cannot calculate STR performance or compare LTR versus STR viability for Ulladulla.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The data set does not list any specific projects, transport upgrades, or major employment hubs. Without those details we cannot identify concrete demand drivers or constraints.

## 6. Bull Case If the 13.5 % 3‑year growth forecast materialises, a median house priced at $913,500 could rise to roughly $1,036,000 in three years (≈ $122,500 capital gain). Units could see a similar proportional uplift from $725,000 to about $822,000. This appreciation, added to the existing 3.4 % yield, would improve total return for a hold strategy.

## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: No vacancy figure supplied; a rise in vacancies would erode the 3.4 % yield. - Employer concentration: No employment data provided; reliance on a single large employer would increase risk if that employer contracts. - Supply pipeline: Absence of data on new dwellings means we cannot gauge future oversupply, but any significant new construction could pressure rents and yields. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: As with all Australian property, higher rates would increase borrowing costs and could compress net yields.

## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target purchases between the median unit and house levels – $725,000 – $913,500. - Minimum yield target: Aim for at least the current 3.4 % gross yield; lower yields would require strong capital‑gain expectations. - Watch signals: 1. Confirmation of the 3‑year growth forecast (e.g., quarterly price‑growth reports). 2. Emerging vacancy data – rising vacancies would signal weakening demand. 3. Any announced infrastructure or employment projects that could lift demand. - Recommended strategy: Acquire within the entry range, hold for 3–5 years to capture projected price appreciation, and monitor vacancy and infrastructure news to decide whether to stay the course or exit.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Strong capital growth (13.1% CAGR) — above national average
▲Active development pipeline (3974 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
10.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
9.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
8.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 13.1% + 10yr CAGR 9.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.5%/yr)
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (120 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (3974 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green5 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
120 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
13.12 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
9.05 high impact
1yr Price Growth
3 medium impact
Population Growth
2.46 high impact
Median Household Income
1141 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
179.1 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
76.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.42 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.92 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

782

2020

879

2021

911

2022

686

2023

716

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2539

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

20,305

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Ulladulla NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Ulladulla. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Ulladulla PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.5/10
Ulladulla HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Ulladulla

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Ulladulla.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.