Urunga NSW Property Investment
Bellingen · 2455 · Score: 51/100 · Hold
Urunga Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Urunga NSW Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure driving this view is the median house price of approximately $875,705 (pending peer validation). The Investment Scorecard sits at 51 / 100, signalling a neutral position rather than a clear upside or downside.
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2. Market Overview
| Metric | Figure | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Median house price | ~ $875,705 (pending validation) | The only price data available; the “median trust” flag means the figure should be treated as provisional. |
| Median unit price | – | Not supplied. |
| Growth trend | – | No historical price data or % change provided, so a trend cannot be quantified. |
| Days on market (DOM) | – | Not supplied. |
Signal: With only a provisional median price and no evidence of accelerating or decelerating sales activity, the market appears balanced. Buyers face a price that is still relatively high for a regional coastal suburb, while sellers lack clear evidence of strong price momentum. Until the median is cross‑validated and DOM data emerge, neither side has a decisive advantage.
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3. Rental Market
| Metric | Figure | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Vacancy rate | – | No data – cannot gauge rental tightness. |
| Weekly rent (house) | – | Not supplied. |
| Weekly rent (unit) | – | Not supplied. |
| Gross rental yield | – | Cannot be calculated without rent & price data. |
| Demand rating | – | No metric provided. |
Implication for investors: The absence of rental statistics means we cannot confirm whether the suburb is currently delivering attractive yields or if there is excess supply. Investors should seek up‑to‑date vacancy and rent figures before committing to a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy.
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4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity
| Metric | Figure | Note |
|---|---|---|
| STR nightly rate | – | Not supplied. |
| STR occupancy % | – | Not supplied. |
| Estimated annual STR revenue | – | Cannot be modelled without nightly rate & occupancy. |
Conclusion: With no STR data, we cannot determine whether a short‑term rental model would outperform a traditional long‑term rental. A market scan for Airbnb/VRBO listings in Urunga would be required to make an evidence‑based decision.
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5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers
| Driver | Detail |
|---|---|
| Major projects | – |
| Transport links | – |
| Employment base | – |
| Demand catalysts / constraints | – |
Assessment: The data set does not list any infrastructure or employment drivers. In the absence of known projects (e.g., new schools, transport upgrades, or major employer expansions), the suburb’s demand is likely to be driven by its coastal lifestyle appeal rather than a specific economic engine. Investors should monitor council releases and state‑level infrastructure plans for any upcoming announcements.
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6. Bull Case
If the median house price were to appreciate by 5 % (a modest, scenario‑based assumption) the new median would be around $919,000. Should rental data later reveal a gross yield of 4 % on that price, an investor could expect an annual rental income of roughly $36,800 (≈ $708 per week).
*These figures are illustrative only and rely on assumptions that are not yet supported by the supplied data.*
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7. Risks
| Risk | Quantified aspect (if any) | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Median price uncertainty | Median house price is only “approximately $875,705” and not cross‑validated. | Over‑paying on an unverified benchmark could compress future returns. |
| Rental market opacity | No vacancy, rent, or yield data. | Without knowing demand, an investor may face unexpected vacancy or low yields. |
| STR data gap | No nightly rate or occupancy figures. | Mis‑judging STR potential could lead to sub‑optimal asset allocation. |
| Supply pipeline unknown | No information on upcoming housing developments. | A sudden influx of new dwellings could increase competition and depress prices/rents. |
| Interest‑rate sensitivity | General market exposure – no suburb‑specific data. | Higher rates could reduce buyer affordability and pressure price growth. |
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8. The Play
| Element | Guidance (based on available data) |
|---|---|
| Entry price range | Target purchases around the provisional median of $875,705 (e.g., $850k–$900k) to allow a margin for the pending validation. |
| Minimum yield target | Aim for a gross yield of ≥ 4 % once reliable rent figures become available; adjust the purchase price accordingly. |
| Watch signals | 1. Peer‑validated median price confirmation. 2. Release of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of any infrastructure or major employer projects. 4. Changes in regional interest‑rate outlook. |
| Recommended strategy | • Hold existing positions while gathering missing data. <br>• Wait‑and‑see on new acquisitions until the median price is validated and rental metrics are published. <br>• If validated data show a healthy yield (≥ 4 %) and limited new supply, consider a selective buy at the lower end of the $850k–$900k band. |
*Bottom line:* Urunga’s current profile is data‑light. The provisional median house price of ~ $875,705 and a neutral investment score suggest a Hold stance until the market fundamentals (price validation, rental performance, and infrastructure activity) are clarified.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 9.9% + 10yr CAGR 6.7%
- −Slow market (97 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (167 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
31
2020
31
2021
26
2022
32
2023
47
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2455
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
3,185
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Urunga NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Urunga. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.