Wadalba NSW Property Investment

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $1,009,101 - Median unit price: $794,143 - 1‑year price growth: 4.0 % - 5‑year CAGR: 8.9 % per year - 3‑year growth forecast: 13.5 % - Days on market: N (not supplied)

What it signals: - A 4.0 % price rise over the past year shows the market is still appreciating, but not at a fever‑pitch pace. - The 8.9 % 5‑year CAGR and 13.5 % 3‑year forecast indicate a longer‑term upward trajectory. - With no days‑on‑market figure, we cannot gauge seller urgency, but the price growth suggests sellers retain some leverage while buyers still have room to negotiate.

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## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $750 / wk - Gross rental yield: 3.9 % - Vacancy rate: – (data not provided) - Demand rating: – (data not provided)

Implication for investors: A 3.9 % yield places Wadalba in the moderate‑return bracket. Without vacancy data we cannot quantify rental risk, but the rent level relative to median house price suggests the cash‑flow profile is stable rather than spectacular.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: – (data not provided) - STR occupancy: – (data not provided) - Estimated annual STR revenue: – (data not supplied)

Conclusion: Because no short‑term rental metrics are available, we cannot quantify STR profitability. In the absence of evidence, long‑term rental (LTR) remains the safer, data‑backed option.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport, employment base: – (no data supplied)

Interpretation: Without specific infrastructure or employment information, we must rely on the suburb’s historical price growth and yield figures as the primary indicators of demand.

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## 6. Bull Case If the 13.5 % 3‑year growth forecast materialises:

Capital gains of roughly $136k for a house or $107k for a unit would lift total returns well above the current 3.9 % yield when combined with rental cash flow.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Element | Impact | |------|--------------------|--------| | Vacancy risk | Vacancy rate not disclosed | Uncertainty around rental income stability | | Rate sensitivity | Current yield 3.9 % | Higher interest rates could compress net yield below 3 % | | Supply pipeline | No data on upcoming dwellings | Potential oversupply could push rents or prices down | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment data | Cannot assess concentration risk; lack of data adds uncertainty |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target purchases near the median – around $1,009,101 for houses or $794,143 for units. - Minimum yield to target: Aim for ≥ 3.9 % gross yield (the suburb’s current average). - Watch signals: 1. Confirmation of the 13.5 % 3‑year growth forecast in quarterly price reports. 2. Changes in the Reserve Bank’s cash‑rate that could affect net yields. 3. Release of any new infrastructure or employment projects for Wadalba. - Recommended strategy: Hold existing positions and consider new acquisitions only if the purchase price allows a gross yield at or above 3.9 % and the buyer can tolerate modest cash‑flow volatility while waiting for the projected capital‑gain upside.