Wattle Grove NSW Property Investment

Sutherland · 2173 · Score: 65/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.35M
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$768/wk
Median Unit Price
$992K
Population
8,886
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
11.9%

Wattle Grove Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$401.12/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$59K
AI Investment Analysis

Wattle Grove NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard rates Wattle Grove 65.0 / 100, the single figure that drives the recommendation.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $1,351,147 (sole source – OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

*Interpretation* – With a median price in the $1.35 m range, the market sits in the higher‑end bracket for the region. In the absence of growth‑trend or DOM data, we cannot identify a clear bias toward buyers or sellers; the market appears neutral pending further information.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Interpretation* – Without rental metrics, we cannot quantify cash‑flow potential or demand pressure for investors.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

*Interpretation* – The data do not allow a comparison between long‑term rental (LTR) and short‑term rental (STR) performance for this suburb.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport, employment base: not supplied.

*Interpretation* – No concrete drivers or constraints can be identified from the provided information.

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## 6. Bull Case If market sentiment improves and the median house price appreciates, any rise above the current $1,351,147 level would represent upside. Specific percentage or dollar‑value targets cannot be modelled because growth rates and supply‑demand dynamics are absent from the data.

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## 7. Risks - Data scarcity risk: lack of vacancy, rent, and yield figures hampers accurate cash‑flow modelling. - Single‑source price risk: the median price relies on one provider (OnTheHouse); peer‑validated pricing could differ. - Supply pipeline risk: no information on upcoming developments; a sudden increase in inventory could pressure prices. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: as with any high‑value property, rising rates could affect affordability and buyer demand.

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: target purchases at or below the reported median of ≈ $1,351,147 (recognising the sole‑source caveat). - Minimum yield to target: cannot be calculated without rent data; investors should seek properties that deliver a gross yield comparable to the broader Sydney market (typically 3‑4 %). - Watch signals: peer‑validated median price, emergence of rental‑market data (vacancy, rent, yield), announcements of new infrastructure or large‑scale employment projects. - Recommended strategy: acquire a property at or under the median price, hold for long‑term capital growth while monitoring rental data to confirm cash‑flow viability. Adjust the plan if validated market metrics emerge that either enhance yield prospects or reveal heightened downside risk.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Outer suburban location (26.2km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (5667 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 6.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5667 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green3 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
768 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.24 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.78 high impact
1yr Price Growth
11.9 medium impact
Population Growth
0.15 high impact
Median Household Income
2495 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
26.2 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
68.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.96 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.46 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,113

2020

1,488

2021

1,323

2022

998

2023

745

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2173

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

14,544

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wattle Grove NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $768/wk median rent for Wattle Grove. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Holsworthy PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.9/10
Holsworthy HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.