Werrington NSW Property Investment

Blacktown · 2747 · Score: 71/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.05M
Rental Yield
3.7%
Vacancy Rate
2.1%
Median Weekly Rent
$750/wk
Median Unit Price
$749K
Population
5,328
Days on Market
58 days
Annual Growth
23.1%
AI Investment Analysis

Werrington NSW Investment Brief

BUY — 3.7% gross yield on a $1,048,468 median.

THE MARKET

Werrington has compounded at 6.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $783,476 in 2021 is worth $1,048,468 today. Properties are sitting on market for 58 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,403,087 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,048,468 | Units: $748,828
  • Gross yield: 3.7% | Net yield: 2.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 5,328 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.1% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $750/wk | Days on market: 58 (worsening)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Werrington maintains 5%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,205,738 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Werrington pull back 10-15% from $1,048,468, with vacancy rising to 3.8% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Mount Druitt (NSW): $1,116,863 median, 2.9% yield, 22.1% 1yr growth
  • Barrack Heights (NSW): $900,668 median, 4.0% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
  • Hebersham (NSW): $897,309 median, 3.2% yield, 15.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Werrington presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $943,621 – $1,153,315
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate capital growth (6.0% CAGR)
—Mixed tenure (35% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (23731 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
13.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
12.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
10.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.0% + 10yr CAGR 24.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (5.1%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.1%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (23731 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green7 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.1 high impact
Days on Market
58 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
750 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.02 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
24.31 high impact
1yr Price Growth
23.1 medium impact
Population Growth
5.1 high impact
Median Household Income
1925 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.6 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
44.4 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
62.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.72 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.22 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,430

2020

6,762

2021

5,751

2022

4,300

2023

2,488

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2747

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

54,397

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Werrington NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $750/wk median rent for Werrington. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Claremont Meadows PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.2/10
Kingswood HS
SecondaryGovernment
5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.