Wilton NSW Property Investment
Wingecarribee · 2571 · Score: 67/100 · Buy
Wilton Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Wilton NSW Investment Brief
BUY — 3.0% gross yield on a $1,364,315 median.
THE MARKET
Wilton has compounded at 3.3%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,159,880 in 2021 is worth $1,364,315 today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,604,783 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,364,315 | Units: $659,898
- Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 3,767 | Owner-occupier rate: 83% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $780/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $539/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$78,666/yr
- vs long-term rent: $40,560/yr (+94% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Wilton maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $1,568,962 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wilton pull back 10-15% from $1,364,315, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Barrack Point (NSW): $1,671,610 median, 2.6% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
- North St Marys (NSW): $1,103,953 median, 2.7% yield, 10.2% 1yr growth
- St Marys (NSW): $1,103,953 median, 2.7% yield, 28.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Wilton presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,227,884 – $1,500,747
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.3% + 10yr CAGR 7.3%
- +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
- +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (1697 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
240
2020
429
2021
439
2022
298
2023
291
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2571
Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
13,174
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
10/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Wilton NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $780/wk median rent for Wilton. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Wilton
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.