Wollongbar NSW Property Investment

Lismore · 2477 · Score: 53/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.04M
Rental Yield
4.0%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$800/wk
Median Unit Price
$673K
Population
3,261
Days on Market
64 days
Annual Growth
-8.1%

Wollongbar Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$503/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$73K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Wollongbar NSW Investment Brief

HOLD — 4.0% gross yield on a $1,039,694 median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Wollongbar sits at $1,039,694 with 64 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $1,039,694 | Units: $672,910
  • Gross yield: 4.0% | Net yield: 2.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -11.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,261 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $800/wk | Days on market: 64 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $503/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$73,493/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $41,600/yr (+77% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Wollongbar maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,195,648 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wollongbar pull back 10-15% from $1,039,694, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Bass Hill (NSW): $1,328,447 median, 3.4% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth
  • Blackett (NSW): $896,981 median, 3.0% yield, 9.7% 1yr growth
  • Barrack Heights (NSW): $900,668 median, 4.0% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Wollongbar offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.5%.

  • Entry range: $935,725 – $1,143,663
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
—Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
▲Active development pipeline (764 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
1.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.4%
p.a.

Basis: National long-run average (no local data)

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (64 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (764 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green7 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
64 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
800 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-11.94 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.12 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-8.1 medium impact
Population Growth
1.12 high impact
Median Household Income
1451 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
599.01 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.5 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

153

2020

205

2021

178

2022

98

2023

130

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2477

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

12,899

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wollongbar NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Wollongbar. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Wollongbar PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.5/10
Alstonville HS
SecondaryGovernment
6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.