Wolumla NSW Property Investment

Snowy Monaro · 2550 · Score: 52/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$781K
Rental Yield
3.6%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$540/wk
Median Unit Price
$500K
Population
767
Days on Market
127 days
Annual Growth
-8.8%

Wolumla Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$429/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$63K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Wolumla NSW Investment Brief

HOLD — $780,997 median with 14.8%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Wolumla has compounded at 14.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $391,688 in 2021 is worth $780,997 today. Properties are sitting on market for 127 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,557,252 by 2031.

  • Median house: $780,997 | Units: $500,228
  • Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 14.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 767 | Owner-occupier rate: 76% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $540/wk | Days on market: 127 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $428/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$62,561/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $28,080/yr (+123% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Wolumla maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $898,147 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wolumla pull back 10-15% from $780,997, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Temagog (NSW): $690,590 median, 3.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Bungawalbin (NSW): $580,000 median, 3.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Blackett (NSW): $896,981 median, 3.0% yield, 9.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Wolumla offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.1%.

  • Entry range: $702,897 – $859,097
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Strong capital growth (14.8% CAGR) — above national average
▲Active development pipeline (582 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
13.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
12.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 14.8% + 10yr CAGR 16.7%

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (127 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (582 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green5 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
127 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
540 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
14.8 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
16.7 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-8.8 medium impact
Population Growth
1.32 high impact
Median Household Income
1245 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
353.27 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
76.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.6 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.1 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

118

2020

115

2021

139

2022

120

2023

90

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2550

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

16,936

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wolumla NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $540/wk median rent for Wolumla. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Wolumla PS
PrimaryGovernment
5/10
Bega HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.