Alice Springs NT Property Investment

Alice Springs · 0870 · Score: 58/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$418K
Rental Yield
4.7%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$380/wk
Median Unit Price
$232K
Population
231
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
9.8%

Alice Springs Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$672.08/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$98K
AI Investment Analysis

Alice Springs NT Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Based on the data, our investment verdict for Alice Springs, NT is to Hold, with the single most important number justifying this decision being the Investment Scorecard rating of 58.0/100. This score indicates a moderate investment potential, suggesting that investors should exercise caution and carefully consider the pros and cons before making a decision.

## 2. Market Overview The median house price in Alice Springs is reported to be $418,082 by a single source, OnTheHouse, with no peer validation available. The median unit price is $232,316. The market has experienced a 9.8% growth in the past year, with a 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.9%. The gross rental yield is 4.7%, which is relatively moderate. With a moderate owner-occupier rate of 52%, the market is evenly split between investors and owner-occupiers. The days on market are not available, but the vacancy rate is 3.0%, indicating a relatively stable rental market. For buyers, this suggests that there may be some negotiating power, while sellers may need to be patient to find the right buyer.

## 3. Rental Market The rental market in Alice Springs has a vacancy rate of 3.0%, which is relatively stable. The median weekly rent is $380, and the gross rental yield is 4.7%. The rental demand is moderate, with an unemployment rate of 3.6%. This suggests that investors can expect a relatively stable rental income, but may not see significant growth in rents. The demand for rentals is moderate, which may lead to some competition among landlords to attract tenants.

## 4. Short-Term Rental Opportunity The median nightly rate for short-term rentals in Alice Springs is $672, with an occupancy rate of 40%. This translates to an estimated annual revenue of $122,688 (assuming 365 nights per year and 40% occupancy). Compared to the long-term rental yield of 4.7%, the short-term rental opportunity may offer higher returns, but it also comes with higher management costs and more uncertainty. Investors should carefully consider their options and weigh the pros and cons of each strategy.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers Alice Springs has a relatively limited infrastructure base, with no major projects on file. However, the town is well-connected, with Alice Springs station just 0.8km away. The lack of major projects may limit the potential for long-term capital growth, but the existing infrastructure provides a solid foundation for the local economy. The employment base is relatively stable, with an unemployment rate of 3.6%, which suggests that the local economy is performing reasonably well.

## 6. Bull Case If conditions hold or improve, the upside scenario for Alice Springs could be significant. With a 9.8% growth in the past year, the market may continue to experience moderate growth, driven by a stable economy and limited supply. If the gross rental yield increases to 5.5% and the median house price grows by 10% per annum, investors could see significant returns. However, this scenario is highly speculative and depends on various factors, including changes in the local economy, infrastructure development, and government policies.

## 7. Risks There are several risks associated with investing in Alice Springs. The vacancy risk is relatively low, with a vacancy rate of 3.0%, but the single-employer dependency risk is higher, given the limited employment base. The supply pipeline is moderate, with development activity consistent with long-term averages, which may limit the potential for long-term capital growth. The distance from major cities may also limit the potential for long-term capital growth. Investors should also be aware of the potential risks associated with climate change, including flood and bushfire risks. However, according to the data, flood risk and bushfire risk are not on record for this suburb. Heritage overlay data is also unavailable, and investors should confirm the heritage status with the council duty planner before making any decisions.

## 8. The Play For investors considering Alice Springs, the entry range is around $230,000 for units and $400,000 for houses. The minimum yield to target is around 4.5%, considering the moderate rental growth and relatively stable vacancy rate. Investors should watch for signals such as changes in the local economy, infrastructure development, and government policies, which may impact the market. The recommended strategy is to hold existing investments and monitor the market closely, rather than entering the market at this time. Investors should also consider diversifying their portfolio to minimize risks and maximize returns.

Flood risk: not on record for this suburb in the NSW LEP / state planning overlay. Order an independent flood certificate before commit. Bushfire risk: not on record for this suburb in the state planning overlay. Order an independent BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) assessment before commit. Heritage status is not on record — confirm with the council duty planner / a Section 10.7 (NSW) or equivalent certificate.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Mixed tenure (43% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (359 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
0.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 0.9% + 10yr CAGR 3.1%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (359 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green7 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
380 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
0.91 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.13 high impact
1yr Price Growth
9.8 medium impact
Population Growth
0.72 high impact
Median Household Income
2174 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
1289.6 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
52 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.73 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.23 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

55

2020

70

2021

124

2022

90

2023

20

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 0870

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

20,341

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Alice Springs NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $380/wk median rent for Alice Springs. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.