Coolalinga NT Property Investment
Litchfield · 0839 · Score: 48/100 · Caution
Coolalinga Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Coolalinga NT Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.1% gross yield on a $536,296 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Coolalinga sits at $536,296 (pending peer validation) with 14 days on market and a 2.0% vacancy rate. This is a balanced market right now.
- Median house: $536,296 (pending peer validation) | Units: $379,198
- Gross yield: 3.1% | Net yield: 1.6%
- 5yr price CAGR: -1.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: -1.3%/yr
- Population: 510 | Owner-occupier rate: 28% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.0% (worsening) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $322/wk | Days on market: 14 (improving)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $501/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$73,146/yr
- vs long-term rent: $16,744/yr (+337% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Darwin station 15.9km away
BULL CASE
If Coolalinga maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $616,740 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Coolalinga pull back 10-15% from $536,296, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Negative price growth suggests a softening market
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Moulden (NT): $517,000 median, 6.0% yield, 20.7% 1yr growth
- Gray (NT): $524,000 median, 5.8% yield, 27.1% 1yr growth
- Dundee Beach (NT): $474,364 median, 2.2% yield, 7.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Coolalinga carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A stable market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $482,666 – $589,926
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 1yr growth 2.2% (heavily discounted — volatile)
- +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
- +Fast sales (14 days avg) — strong buyer demand
- −Population decline (-1.4%/yr) — demand headwind
- −High supply pipeline (409 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
51
2020
119
2021
99
2022
84
2023
56
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 0839
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
510
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Coolalinga NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $322/wk median rent for Coolalinga. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.