Gunn NT Property Investment

Palmerston · 0832 · Score: 75/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$627K
Rental Yield
5.7%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$690/wk
Median Unit Price
$500K
Population
2,564
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
19.6%

Gunn Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$3521.92/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$514K
AI Investment Analysis

Gunn NT Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard of 75.0 / 100 is the single number that drives the recommendation.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $632,328$721 (peer sources disagree by >10%; use the full range). - Growth trend: *Data not provided.* - Days on market: *Data not provided.*

Signal: With a wide median‑price range and a strong scorecard, buyers can negotiate within the lower‑end of the band, while sellers can aim for the upper‑end. The uncertainty in the median suggests price discovery is still active.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not provided.* - Weekly rent: *Data not provided.* - Gross yield: *Data not provided.* - Demand rating: *Data not provided.*

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should obtain current rental listings and vacancy statistics before committing capital.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not provided.* - Occupancy: *Data not provided.* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not provided.*

Conclusion: We cannot determine whether long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) is superior. Prospective buyers should conduct a site‑specific STR feasibility study.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects: *Data not provided.* - Transport links: *Data not provided.* - Employment base: *Data not provided.*

Drivers/Limits: In the absence of concrete information, we cannot identify specific catalysts or constraints. Investors should monitor local council releases and NT government infrastructure plans.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb attracts new employment, infrastructure upgrades, or a surge in buyer interest, the median house price could push toward the upper‑end of the $632,328$721 range or exceed it. A move from the lower to the upper band would represent a ~14 % upside (assuming $721,000 as the top of the range). The 75‑point scorecard suggests the market already perceives upside potential.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (where available) | |------|--------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data – the property could sit empty if tenant demand is weak. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment data – reliance on a dominant employer would amplify risk if that employer contracts. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new builds – a sudden influx of supply could pressure prices and rents. | | Rate sensitivity | Standard for all Australian property – higher interest rates could reduce buyer affordability and investor cash flow. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target purchases near the lower bound of the median range, i.e., around $632,328. - Minimum yield to target: *Data not provided* – obtain current rental yields before setting a threshold. - Watch signals: 1. Announcement of new infrastructure or major employer projects. 2. Updated median price figures that narrow the current wide range. 3. Emerging rental market data (vacancy, rent levels). - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property at the lower end of the price band, conduct a detailed rental and STR feasibility analysis, and hold for capital growth while the market resolves the median‑price uncertainty. The strong scorecard (75/100) supports a buy stance, but due diligence on rental fundamentals and local development plans is essential.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner/middle ring location (16.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (46%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (852 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 0.5% + 10yr CAGR 3.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (3.8%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (852 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green5 yellow1 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
690 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
0.53 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.32 high impact
1yr Price Growth
19.63 medium impact
Population Growth
3.76 high impact
Median Household Income
2352 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
16.09 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
52.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.72 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.22 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

149

2020

235

2021

131

2022

153

2023

184

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 0832

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

18,727

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Gunn NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $690/wk median rent for Gunn. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.