Jingili NT Property Investment

Darwin · 0810 · Score: 72/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$595K
Rental Yield
5.7%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$482K
Population
1,841
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
2.6%

Jingili Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$465.75/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$68K
AI Investment Analysis

Jingili NT Investment Brief

BUY5.7% gross yield on a $595,000$704,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Jingili has compounded at 2.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $595,000$704,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $595,000$704,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $481,837
  • Gross yield: 5.7% | Net yield: 4.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,841 | Owner-occupier rate: 52% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.0% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $650/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $466/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$68,000/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $33,800/yr (+101% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Darwin City Deal (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Darwin station 10.1km away

BULL CASE

If Jingili maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $684,250 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Jingili pull back 10-15% from $595,000, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Moulden (NT): $517,000 median, 6.0% yield, 20.7% 1yr growth
  • Gray (NT): $524,000 median, 5.8% yield, 27.1% 1yr growth
  • Dundee Beach (NT): $474,364 median, 2.2% yield, 7.9% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Jingili presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 5.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $535,500$654,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 6.0%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner/middle ring location (9.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (46%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (549 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (549 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green7 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.17 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
2.59 medium impact
Population Growth
0.61 high impact
Median Household Income
2199 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.7 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
9.12 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
51.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.68 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.18 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

175

2020

95

2021

65

2022

140

2023

74

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 0810

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

34,330

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Jingili NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Jingili. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.