Boyne Valley QLD Property Investment

· 4680 · Score: 48/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$392K
Rental Yield
3.6%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$275/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
301
Days on Market
30 days
Annual Growth
21.6%

Boyne Valley Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$473/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$76K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Boyne Valley QLD Investment Brief

CAUTION — 3.6% gross yield on a $391,602 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Boyne Valley sits at $391,602 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) with 30 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $391,602 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -0.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 301 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $275/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $473/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$76,025/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $14,300/yr (+432% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Bruce Highway Upgrade Program (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Many Peaks station 0.3km away

BULL CASE

If Boyne Valley maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $450,342 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Boyne Valley pull back 10-15% from $391,602, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Biloela (QLD): $387,807 median, 6.5% yield, 24.5% 1yr growth
  • Moura (QLD): $300,409 median, 7.3% yield, 35.9% 1yr growth
  • Gayndah (QLD): $419,042 median, 3.9% yield, 18.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Boyne Valley carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $352,442 – $430,762
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Strong capital growth (18.3% CAGR) — above national average
—Mixed tenure (36% renters) — transitional suburb profile

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
12.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
11.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
10.2%
p.a.

Basis: 3yr growth 18.3% (discounted)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green5 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
30 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
275 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-0.81 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.08 high impact
1yr Price Growth
21.62 medium impact
Population Growth
0.43 high impact
Median Household Income
1746 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
365.33 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
61.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.65 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.15 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4680

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

55,339

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Boyne Valley QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $275/wk median rent for Boyne Valley. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Builyan SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.9/10
Miriam Vale SS
SecondaryGovernment
4.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.