Brendale QLD Property Investment

Moreton Bay · 4500 · Score: 69/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$698K
Rental Yield
4.5%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$640K
Population
3,100
Days on Market
13 days
Annual Growth
16.3%

Brendale Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$364.44/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$59K
AI Investment Analysis

Brendale QLD Investment Brief

BUY4.5% gross yield on a $698,000 median.

THE MARKET

Brendale has compounded at 2.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $607,981 in 2021 is worth $698,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 13 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $801,348 by 2031.

  • Median house: $698,000 | Units: $640,000
  • Gross yield: 4.5% | Net yield: 3.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,100 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 13 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $364/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$58,529/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $31,200/yr (+88% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
  • Transport: Strathpine station 2.4km away

BULL CASE

If Brendale maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $802,700 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Brendale pull back 10-15% from $698,000, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Eastern Heights (QLD): $797,000 median, 3.6% yield, 18.9% 1yr growth
  • Redbank Plains (QLD): $810,000 median, 3.9% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth
  • Yarrabilba (QLD): $840,000 median, 3.9% yield, 19.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Brendale presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $628,200$767,800
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.8%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Inner/middle ring location (16.6km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (21414 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Fast sales (13 days avg) — strong buyer demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (21414 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green9 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
13 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.8 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.38 high impact
1yr Price Growth
16.25 medium impact
Population Growth
1.49 high impact
Median Household Income
1947 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
16.55 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.47 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.97 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,057

2020

5,365

2021

4,175

2022

3,011

2023

4,806

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4500

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

45,656

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Brendale QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Brendale. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Eatons Hill SS
PrimaryGovernment
7.2/10
Bray Park SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.