Burleigh Waters QLD Property Investment

Gold Coast · 4220 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.91M
Rental Yield
3.4%
Vacancy Rate
2.5%
Median Weekly Rent
$1250/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.02M
Population
14,556
Days on Market
34 days
Annual Growth
6.5%

Burleigh Waters Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$528/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$85K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Burleigh Waters QLD Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard rates Burleigh Waters 57.0 / 100, indicating modest upside but also enough risk to merit a wait‑and‑see approach.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $1,905,196 (sole‑source figure from OnTheHouse; not peer‑validated). - Growth trend & days on market: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price momentum or how quickly properties are selling.

Signal: With a high median price and no growth or liquidity data, buyers should expect limited price‑negotiation room, while sellers can anticipate a market that may be price‑stable but lacks clear evidence of strong demand.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not provided. - Weekly rent: not provided. - Gross yield: cannot be calculated without rent data. - Demand rating: not supplied.

Implication: Without rental metrics, we cannot assess cash‑flow potential or investor demand. Investors should seek up‑to‑date rental surveys before committing to a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not provided. - Occupancy: not provided. - Estimated annual revenue: cannot be estimated.

Conclusion: In the absence of short‑term rental data, we cannot determine whether an LTR or STR approach would generate a superior return. Further market research is required.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers No infrastructure, transport, employment‑base, or known development projects are listed in the supplied data. Consequently, we cannot identify specific demand drivers or constraints for Burleigh Waters at this time.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb were to experience a 5 % price uplift, the median house price would rise to roughly $2,000,000 (5 % of $1,905,196). This scenario assumes an improvement in growth momentum, stronger buyer interest, or new infrastructure that is not currently documented.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Concern (where data exists) | |------|----------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data – high median price could suppress rental demand. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment data – cannot gauge exposure to a dominant employer. | | Supply pipeline | No information on upcoming dwellings – unknown impact on future price pressure. | | Rate sensitivity | Premium‑priced suburb; a rise in interest rates could dampen buyer capacity, but no specific rate‑impact figures are available. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target properties around the sole‑source median, i.e., $1.8 M – $2.0 M, while awaiting peer‑validated pricing. - Minimum yield to target: Unable to set a figure without rental income data. - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price updates. 2. Emerging rental market statistics (vacancy, rent, yield). 3. Announcements of infrastructure or large‑scale development in the area. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold position. Acquire additional market intelligence (rental surveys, development pipelines, peer‑validated pricing) before deciding whether to transition to a Buy for capital growth or a Sell if risk factors intensify.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
—Moderate capital growth (4.6% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (25451 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.5%

Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (25451 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green8 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.5 high impact
Days on Market
34 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1250 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.58 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.45 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.48 medium impact
Population Growth
0.84 high impact
Median Household Income
1746 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
79.75 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
68 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.41 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.91 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,508

2020

5,232

2021

5,649

2022

5,944

2023

4,118

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4220

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

32,574

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Burleigh Waters QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1250/wk median rent for Burleigh Waters. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Caningeraba SS
PrimaryGovernment
6.7/10
Miami SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.