Centenary Heights QLD Property Investment
Toowoomba · 4350 · Score: 54/100 · Hold
Centenary Heights Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Centenary Heights QLD Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the single most important number is the Investment Scorecard rating of 54.0 / 100.
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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: *No range supplied in the data* (the “MEDIAN TRUST” line is incomplete). - Growth trend: *Not provided.* - Days on market: *Not provided.*
*Interpretation:* With only the Scorecard rating available, the market appears to be neither strongly undervalued nor over‑heated. The lack of concrete price, growth or liquidity data means we cannot identify a clear bias toward buyers or sellers at this stage.
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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Not provided.* - Average weekly rent: *Not provided.* - Gross yield: *Cannot be calculated without rent and price data.* - Demand rating: *Not provided.*
*Interpretation:* In the absence of rental‑market metrics, investors should treat the rental stream as neutral until local vacancy and rent figures become available.
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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Not provided.* - Occupancy rate: *Not provided.* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *Cannot be estimated.*
*Interpretation:* Without STR data we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental profitability. The decision should be deferred until market‑specific STR performance data is sourced.
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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects: *No specific projects listed.* - Transport links: *Not detailed.* - Employment base: *Not detailed.*
*Interpretation:* No explicit growth drivers have been supplied, so any demand‑side assumptions must be based on broader regional trends rather than suburb‑specific catalysts.
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## 6. Bull Case If future data were to show:
- Median house price moving to the upper end of a plausible range (e.g., a 10‑15 % uplift),
- Rental demand strengthening (vacancy falling below 3 % and weekly rent rising),
then the suburb could deliver capital growth and improved yields. Specific upside numbers cannot be quantified without the missing data.
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## 7. Risks - Data insufficiency risk: The absence of concrete price, rent, vacancy and infrastructure figures makes it difficult to model cash flow or capital‑growth scenarios. - Vacancy risk: Unknown vacancy levels could mask a higher‑than‑expected empty‑home rate. - Supply risk: Without a supply pipeline count, we cannot gauge potential oversupply pressure. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: As with any Australian residential market, a 1 % rise in rates could depress property values, but the magnitude cannot be measured here.
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## 8. The Play - Entry range: *Cannot be defined* until a reliable median price range is disclosed. - Target minimum yield: Aim for ≥ 4 % gross yield once rent and price data are available. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of a verified median house price range for Centenary Heights. 2. Release of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of any new infrastructure or major employer projects. - Recommended strategy: - Hold the current position based on the 54 / 100 Scorecard. - Monitor the above signals closely. - Defer new acquisitions until the missing market data (price range, rental metrics, infrastructure updates) becomes publicly available, at which point a more granular entry‑price and yield analysis can be performed.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.0% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%
- +Above-average population growth (1.5%/yr)
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (4628 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
657
2020
1,196
2021
1,030
2022
855
2023
890
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4350
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
115,218
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Centenary Heights QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $595/wk median rent for Centenary Heights. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Centenary Heights
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.