Centenary Heights QLD Property Investment

Toowoomba · 4350 · Score: 54/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$750K
Rental Yield
3.9%
Vacancy Rate
2.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$595/wk
Median Unit Price
$725K
Population
6,152
Days on Market
51 days
Annual Growth
17.6%

Centenary Heights Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$406/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$65K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Centenary Heights QLD Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the single most important number is the Investment Scorecard rating of 54.0 / 100.

---

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: *No range supplied in the data* (the “MEDIAN TRUST” line is incomplete). - Growth trend: *Not provided.* - Days on market: *Not provided.*

*Interpretation:* With only the Scorecard rating available, the market appears to be neither strongly undervalued nor over‑heated. The lack of concrete price, growth or liquidity data means we cannot identify a clear bias toward buyers or sellers at this stage.

---

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Not provided.* - Average weekly rent: *Not provided.* - Gross yield: *Cannot be calculated without rent and price data.* - Demand rating: *Not provided.*

*Interpretation:* In the absence of rental‑market metrics, investors should treat the rental stream as neutral until local vacancy and rent figures become available.

---

## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Not provided.* - Occupancy rate: *Not provided.* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *Cannot be estimated.*

*Interpretation:* Without STR data we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental profitability. The decision should be deferred until market‑specific STR performance data is sourced.

---

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects: *No specific projects listed.* - Transport links: *Not detailed.* - Employment base: *Not detailed.*

*Interpretation:* No explicit growth drivers have been supplied, so any demand‑side assumptions must be based on broader regional trends rather than suburb‑specific catalysts.

---

## 6. Bull Case If future data were to show:

  • Median house price moving to the upper end of a plausible range (e.g., a 10‑15 % uplift),
  • Rental demand strengthening (vacancy falling below 3 % and weekly rent rising),

then the suburb could deliver capital growth and improved yields. Specific upside numbers cannot be quantified without the missing data.

---

## 7. Risks - Data insufficiency risk: The absence of concrete price, rent, vacancy and infrastructure figures makes it difficult to model cash flow or capital‑growth scenarios. - Vacancy risk: Unknown vacancy levels could mask a higher‑than‑expected empty‑home rate. - Supply risk: Without a supply pipeline count, we cannot gauge potential oversupply pressure. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: As with any Australian residential market, a 1 % rise in rates could depress property values, but the magnitude cannot be measured here.

---

## 8. The Play - Entry range: *Cannot be defined* until a reliable median price range is disclosed. - Target minimum yield: Aim for ≥ 4 % gross yield once rent and price data are available. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of a verified median house price range for Centenary Heights. 2. Release of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of any new infrastructure or major employer projects. - Recommended strategy: - Hold the current position based on the 54 / 100 Scorecard. - Monitor the above signals closely. - Defer new acquisitions until the missing market data (price range, rental metrics, infrastructure updates) becomes publicly available, at which point a more granular entry‑price and yield analysis can be performed.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Mixed tenure (37% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (4628 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.0% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.5%/yr)
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (4628 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green9 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.8 high impact
Days on Market
51 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
595 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.99 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.19 high impact
1yr Price Growth
17.65 medium impact
Population Growth
1.54 high impact
Median Household Income
1428 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
24 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
105.62 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.86 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.36 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

657

2020

1,196

2021

1,030

2022

855

2023

890

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4350

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

115,218

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Centenary Heights QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $595/wk median rent for Centenary Heights. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Gabbinbar SS
PrimaryGovernment
6.4/10
Centenary Heights SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Centenary Heights

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Centenary Heights.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.