Chermside Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Chermside QLD Investment Analysis
BUY
— $1,100,000 median with 12.6% 5yr price growth.
THE MARKET
Chermside recorded 12.6% annual price growth over the past 5 years — a $1,100,000 house bought in 2019 would be worth approximately $607,716 today. Properties are sitting on the market for 18 days (sellers have the leverage).
- **Median house:** $1,100,000 | **Units:** $248,048 - **Gross yield:** 3.1% | **Net yield:** 1.6% - **Vacancy:** 0.9% (improving) | **Rental demand:** Very High - **5yr price growth:** 12.6%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 14.2%/yr - **Days on market:** 18 (improving)
STR potential: $185/night at 70% occupancy = ~$47,268/yr gross. That's a **40% premium** over long-term rent — but factor in higher management costs and council rules.
BULL CASE
If Chermside maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,265,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
Notable infrastructure: **Northern Transitway** (under construction). Plus 3 more projects in the pipeline.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Chermside pull back 10-15% from $1,100,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
Chermside presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $990,000 – $1,210,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.