Clayfield Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Clayfield QLD Investment Analysis
BUY
— 1.9% gross yield on a $1,800,000 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Clayfield sits at $1,800,000 with 23 days on market and a 0.8% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- **Median house:** $1,800,000 | **Units:** $371,461 - **Gross yield:** 1.9% | **Net yield:** 0.4% - **5yr price CAGR:** -0.5%/yr | **3yr forecast:** -0.5%/yr - **Population:** 17,150 | **Owner-occupier rate:** 29% | **Affluence:** Very High
- **Supply pipeline:** Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- **Vacancy:** 0.8% (worsening) | **Rental demand:** Very High - **Median weekly rent:** $660/wk | **Days on market:** 23 (improving) - Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- **Median nightly rate:** $185/night | **Occupancy:** 70% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$47,268/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $34,320/yr (+38% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Well-connected inner-city location
BULL CASE
If Clayfield maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,070,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Clayfield pull back 10-15% from $1,800,000, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Negative price growth suggests a softening market
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- **Alderley** (QLD): $1,700,000 median, 2.0% yield, 21.8% 1yr growth - **Alexandra Headland** (QLD): $1,400,000 median, 2.8% yield, -17.9% 1yr growth - **Annerley** (QLD): $1,300,000 median, 2.6% yield, 6.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Clayfield presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current correction phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,620,000 – $1,980,000 - Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.