Crestmead QLD Property Investment
Logan · 4132 · Score: 55/100 · Hold
Crestmead Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Crestmead QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.6% gross yield on a $876,584 median.
THE MARKET
Crestmead has compounded at 2.3%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $782,376 in 2021 is worth $876,584 today. Properties are sitting on market for 64 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $982,136 by 2031.
- Median house: $876,584 | Units: $797,948
- Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 12,271 | Owner-occupier rate: 48% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 64 (worsening)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $385/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$61,850/yr
- vs long-term rent: $31,200/yr (+98% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Kingston station 4.7km away
BULL CASE
If Crestmead maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,008,072 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Crestmead pull back 10-15% from $876,584, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Zillmere (QLD): $1,068,425 median, 3.2% yield, 11.8% 1yr growth
- Ellen Grove (QLD): $915,856 median, 3.4% yield, 18.6% 1yr growth
- Flagstone (QLD): $997,635 median, 3.3% yield, 15.1% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Crestmead offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.1%.
- Entry range: $788,926 – $964,242
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.3% + 10yr CAGR 2.5%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
- −Slow market (64 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (20347 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
2,800
2020
4,682
2021
4,552
2022
4,190
2023
4,123
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4132
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
27,070
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Crestmead QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Crestmead. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.