Crestmead QLD Property Investment

Logan · 4132 · Score: 56/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$772K
Rental Yield
3.9%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$816K
Population
12,271
Days on Market
11 days
Annual Growth
12.4%

Crestmead Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$385.12/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$62K
AI Investment Analysis

Crestmead QLD Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the single most important number is the Investment Scorecard 56.0 / 100 (the only quantitative metric supplied).

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: *Data not provided* (the source notes a peer‑disagreement range, but the actual range is missing from the brief). - Growth trend / Days on market: *Data not provided*.

Signal: With only the scorecard available, the market appears to be in a neutral position – neither a clear buyer’s nor seller’s market can be identified from the supplied information.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not provided* - Weekly rent: *Data not provided* - Gross yield: *Data not provided* - Demand rating: *Data not provided*

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot assess cash‑flow strength or investor demand for long‑term rentals in Crestmead.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not provided* - Occupancy: *Data not provided* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not provided*

Conclusion: No basis to compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) performance.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / Transport / Employment base: *Data not provided*

Drivers/Limits: Unable to identify any specific infrastructure or employment catalysts (or constraints) from the supplied data.

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## 6. Bull Case Given only the 56.0 / 100 score, the upside scenario would be a modest improvement in market sentiment that pushes the score into the 60‑70 range, potentially lifting property values and yields. Specific price or yield targets cannot be quantified without the missing market figures.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Detail (if any) | |------|----------------------------| | Vacancy risk | *No vacancy data supplied* | | Single‑employer dependency | *No employment data supplied* | | Supply pipeline | *No information on new dwellings or approvals* | | Rate sensitivity | General market exposure; no specific sensitivity figures available |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: *Not defined* (median price range not supplied). - Minimum yield to target: *Cannot be set* without rent or price data. - Watch signals: Release of median price range, rental vacancy and rent figures, any announced infrastructure or employment projects in Crestmead. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold position pending the arrival of concrete market data. Monitor the above watch signals before considering acquisition or disposition.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Outer suburban location (25.2km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
High renter base (49%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (20347 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.3% + 10yr CAGR 2.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Fast sales (11 days avg) — strong buyer demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (20347 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green7 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
11 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.3 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.46 high impact
1yr Price Growth
12.45 medium impact
Population Growth
0.64 high impact
Median Household Income
1437 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
9.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
25.23 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
48.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.93 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.43 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,800

2020

4,682

2021

4,552

2022

4,190

2023

4,123

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4132

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

27,070

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Crestmead QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Crestmead. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Crestmead SS
PrimaryGovernment
4.8/10
Marsden SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.