Darlington QLD Property Investment

Logan · 4285 · Score: 51/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.38M
Rental Yield
1.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$315/wk
Median Unit Price
$81K
Population
98
Days on Market
40 days
Annual Growth
4.5%

Darlington Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$713.19/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$115K
AI Investment Analysis

Darlington QLD Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Based on the data, our investment verdict for Darlington, QLD is to Hold, with the single most important number justifying this being the Investment Scorecard rating of 51.0/100. This score indicates a neutral outlook, suggesting that while there are some positive factors, there are also limitations that prevent us from recommending a Buy.

## 2. Market Overview The median house price in Darlington, QLD is $1,377,971, with a median unit price of $81,332. Over the past year, house prices have grown by 4.5%, and the 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 3.3%/yr. The market is currently in a cooling cycle, which may signal a more favorable time for buyers to negotiate prices. However, with a moderate rental demand and stable vacancy trend, sellers may still find willing buyers. The gross rental yield is 1.2%, which is relatively low compared to other suburbs.

## 3. Rental Market The vacancy rate in Darlington, QLD is 2.6%, indicating a relatively stable rental market. The median weekly rent is $315/wk, and the gross rental yield is 1.2%. The demand rating is moderate, which suggests that investors may not see extremely high returns but can still expect a steady stream of tenants. With an owner-occupier rate of 71%, the suburb has a strong sense of community, which can be attractive to renters looking for a stable and family-friendly environment.

## 4. Short-Term Rental Opportunity The median nightly rate for short-term rentals in Darlington, QLD is $713/night, with an occupancy rate of 44%. This translates to an estimated annual revenue of $117,293 (assuming 365 nights per year and an occupancy rate of 44%). Compared to the long-term rental market, short-term rentals may offer higher revenue potential, but they also come with higher management costs and more variable income. In this case, the long-term rental yield of 1.2% may not be significantly lower than the net yield from short-term rentals after accounting for management fees and vacancies.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers There are no major projects on file for Darlington, QLD, which may limit the suburb's growth potential. The nearest transport hub, Robina station, is 36.5km away, which could make the suburb less attractive to commuters. However, the low supply pipeline, with price growth outpacing new supply, may help to drive up prices in the long term. The suburb's population is relatively small, with only 98 residents, which could make it more challenging to achieve economies of scale in terms of amenities and services.

## 6. Bull Case If the market conditions hold or improve, the bull case scenario for Darlington, QLD could see the suburb benefit from its limited supply pipeline and moderate rental demand. With a 3-year growth forecast of 13.5%, the suburb could see significant capital growth, making it an attractive option for investors looking for long-term appreciation. However, this growth forecast is subject to various risks and uncertainties, including changes in market conditions and the overall economic environment.

## 7. Risks One of the key risks for Darlington, QLD is the distance from the CBD, which may limit long-term capital growth potential. The suburb's small population and limited amenities may also make it less attractive to some buyers and renters. The unemployment rate of 5.6% is slightly higher than the national average, which could impact the local economy and rental market. Additionally, the supply pipeline is low, which may lead to upward pressure on prices, but it also means that the suburb may not see significant new developments or infrastructure projects in the near future.

## 8. The Play For investors looking to enter the Darlington, QLD market, we recommend a cautious approach. The entry range for houses is around $1,377,971, and investors should target a minimum yield of 1.2% to ensure a reasonable return on investment. Watch signals include changes in the local employment market, new infrastructure projects, and shifts in the overall market cycle. The recommended strategy is to hold existing properties and monitor the market closely, as the current scorecard rating suggests a neutral outlook.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (20347 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.3% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (20347 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green8 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.6 high impact
Days on Market
40 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
315 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.27 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.85 high impact
1yr Price Growth
4.55 medium impact
Population Growth
1.45 high impact
Median Household Income
1476 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
85.96 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
71.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.19 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.31 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,800

2020

4,682

2021

4,552

2022

4,190

2023

4,123

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4285

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

21,763

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Darlington QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $315/wk median rent for Darlington. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Darlington SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.9/10
Beaudesert SHS
SecondaryGovernment
4.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.