Kallangur Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Kallangur QLD Investment Analysis
HOLD
— $825,000 median with 11.4%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Kallangur has compounded at 11.4%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $480,870 in 2021 is worth $825,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 11 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,415,402 by 2031.
- **Median house:** $825,000 | **Units:** $227,259 - **Gross yield:** 3.7% | **Net yield:** 2.2% - **5yr price CAGR:** 11.4%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 12.8%/yr - **Population:** 26,514 | **Owner-occupier rate:** 28% | **Affluence:** Above Average
- **Supply pipeline:** Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- **Vacancy:** 2.9% (stable) | **Rental demand:** Moderate - **Median weekly rent:** $590/wk | **Days on market:** 11 (improving) - Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- **Median nightly rate:** $185/night | **Occupancy:** 70% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$47,268/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $30,680/yr (+54% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Kallangur maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $948,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kallangur pull back 10-15% from $825,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- **Acacia Ridge** (QLD): $860,000 median, 3.6% yield, 10.3% 1yr growth - **Agnes Water** (QLD): $870,000 median, 3.9% yield, 10.9% 1yr growth - **Airlie Beach** (QLD): $850,000 median, 4.0% yield, -8.1% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Kallangur offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.2%.
- Entry range: $742,500 – $907,500 - Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.