Lindum Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Lindum QLD Investment Analysis
CAUTION
— 2.3% gross yield on a $924,000 median.
THE MARKET
Lindum has compounded at 1.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $853,500 in 2021 is worth $924,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,000,324 by 2031.
- **Median house:** $924,000 | **Units:** $0 - **Gross yield:** 2.3% | **Net yield:** 0.8% - **5yr price CAGR:** 1.6%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 1.8%/yr - **Population:** 26,887 | **Owner-occupier rate:** 50% | **Affluence:** High
- **Supply pipeline:** Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- **Vacancy:** 3.0% (stable) | **Rental demand:** Moderate - **Median weekly rent:** $410/wk | **Days on market:** 30 (stable) - Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- **Median nightly rate:** $324/night | **Occupancy:** 29% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$34,033/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $21,320/yr (+60% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Lindum maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,062,600 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Lindum pull back 10-15% from $924,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- **Acacia Ridge** (QLD): $860,000 median, 3.6% yield, 10.3% 1yr growth - **Albany Creek** (QLD): $1,200,000 median, 3.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth - **Albion** (QLD): $1,100,000 median, 3.1% yield, -13.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Lindum carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A growth market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $831,600 – $1,016,400 - Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.