Mount Cotton QLD Property Investment
Redland · 4165 · Score: 64/100 · Hold
Mount Cotton Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Mount Cotton QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.0% gross yield on a $1,293,812 median.
THE MARKET
Mount Cotton has compounded at 2.3%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,154,763 in 2021 is worth $1,293,812 today. Properties are sitting on market for 22 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,449,604 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,293,812 | Units: $1,150,130
- Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 7,302 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $750/wk | Days on market: 22 (improving)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $433/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$69,469/yr
- vs long-term rent: $39,000/yr (+78% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Loganlea station 9.8km away
BULL CASE
If Mount Cotton maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,487,884 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mount Cotton pull back 10-15% from $1,293,812, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Logan Village (QLD): $1,322,044 median, 3.0% yield, 3.8% 1yr growth
- Loganholme (QLD): $1,005,427 median, 3.4% yield, 20.2% 1yr growth
- Sunnybank Hills (QLD): $1,500,627 median, 2.6% yield, 11.2% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Mount Cotton offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,164,431 – $1,423,193
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.3% + 10yr CAGR 3.5%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
- +Active market (22 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (5438 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
755
2020
1,160
2021
1,111
2022
1,031
2023
1,381
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4165
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
39,491
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
9/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Mount Cotton QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $750/wk median rent for Mount Cotton. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.