Robertson Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Robertson QLD Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Robertson, QLD 4109 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 65/100 — Buy
Robertson rates as "Buy" due to tight rental market (0.9% vacancy).
Robertson sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 65 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the QLD market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $2,200,000 Median unit price: $365,628 Median weekly rent: $815/week Days on market: 31 days (stable)
Robertson commands a premium position in the QLD property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 31 days on market, suggesting balanced supply-demand dynamics.
Comparable suburbs: - Alderley (QLD): Median $1,700,000, yield 2.0%, 1yr growth 21.8% - Ascot (QLD): Median $2,600,000, yield 1.7%, 1yr growth 15.2% - Ashgrove (QLD): Median $1,900,000, yield 2.2%, 1yr growth 11.7%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 1.9% Net rental yield: 0.4% Vacancy rate: 0.9% (stable) Rental demand: Very High
The rental market in Robertson is characterised by very high demand with a vacancy rate of 0.9%, which is well below the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending stable, maintaining steady conditions.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $185 with an estimated occupancy of 70%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $47,268 before expenses. This represents a 12% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $42,380/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): 1.5% Price CAGR (5yr): 1.3% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 1.4% Supply pipeline: Moderate
Development activity consistent with long-term averages
Infrastructure & transport: - Mt Gravatt Centre Suburban Renewal Precinct Plan (planned) - Player Street Connection Project (planned) - Nathan Sciences Precinct Redevelopment - Griffith University (under construction) Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
If Robertson maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,530,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (1.5% growth, 0.9% vacancy, 1.9% yield), Robertson offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Low
Key risks: - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $11,709/month - At 8%: $12,914/month - At 9%: $14,161/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Robertson pull back 10-15% from $2,200,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: High Safety score: 6.6/10 Walkability: 65/100 Owner-occupied: 28%
Schools: - Robertson Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Robertson East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Robertson West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Robertson High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10
Robertson is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 28% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — BUY
Robertson presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels.
Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $1,980,000 - 2,420,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Robertson market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Robertson QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $815/wk median rent for Robertson. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.