Rocklea QLD Property Investment
Brisbane · 4106 · Score: 62/100 · Hold
Rocklea Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Rocklea QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.4% gross yield on a $881,679 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Rocklea has compounded at 3.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $881,679 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 107 days (buyers have negotiating room).
- Median house: $881,679 (pending peer validation) | Units: $733,750
- Gross yield: 3.4% | Net yield: 1.9%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,672 | Owner-occupier rate: 50% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $583/wk | Days on market: 107 (worsening)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $358/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$57,575/yr
- vs long-term rent: $30,316/yr (+90% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Cross River Rail (Brisbane) (Under Construction)
- Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
- Transport: Rocklea station 1.7km away
BULL CASE
If Rocklea maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,013,931 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Rocklea pull back 10-15% from $881,679, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Flood risk: EXTREME (qld_arcgis) — review individual property elevation and council flood maps before commit
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Waterford West (QLD): $908,595 median, 3.4% yield, 13.7% 1yr growth
- Loganholme (QLD): $1,003,236 median, 3.5% yield, 20.2% 1yr growth
- Browns Plains (QLD): $972,352 median, 3.4% yield, 23.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Rocklea offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $793,511 – $969,847
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.6% + 10yr CAGR 3.7%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −Slow market (107 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (39794 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
7,221
2020
8,891
2021
8,353
2022
8,044
2023
7,285
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4106
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
1,672
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Rocklea QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $583/wk median rent for Rocklea. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Rocklea
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Rocklea.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.