Sherwood QLD Property Investment

Brisbane · 4075 · Score: 73/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.96M
Rental Yield
2.1%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$795/wk
Median Unit Price
$872K
Population
6,082
Days on Market
29 days
Annual Growth
-9.6%

Sherwood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$248/night
Occupancy Rate
43.77%
Est. Annual Revenue
$40K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Sherwood QLD Investment Brief

BUY — 2.1% gross yield on a $1,958,708 median.

THE MARKET

Sherwood has compounded at 3.4%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,657,170 in 2021 is worth $1,958,708 today. Properties are sitting on market for 29 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,315,114 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,958,708 | Units: $872,445
  • Gross yield: 2.1% | Net yield: 0.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,082 | Owner-occupier rate: 67% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $795/wk | Days on market: 29 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $248/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$39,608/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $41,340/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Cross River Rail (Brisbane) (Under Construction)
  • Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If Sherwood maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,252,514 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Sherwood pull back 10-15% from $1,958,708, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: EXTREME (qld_arcgis) — review individual property elevation and council flood maps before commit

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Underwood (QLD): $1,390,715 median, 2.8% yield, 22.7% 1yr growth
  • Carbrook (QLD): $1,824,799 median, 2.6% yield, 7.7% 1yr growth
  • Coorparoo (QLD): $1,946,267 median, 2.2% yield, 7.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Sherwood presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,762,837 – $2,154,579
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Inner/middle ring location (8.2km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
▲Active development pipeline (39794 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.4% + 10yr CAGR 4.7%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.8%/yr)
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (29 days avg)
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (39794 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green5 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
29 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
795 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.43 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.7 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-9.62 medium impact
Population Growth
1.78 high impact
Median Household Income
2239 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
8.17 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.11 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.61 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

7,221

2020

8,891

2021

8,353

2022

8,044

2023

7,285

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4075

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

25,506

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Sherwood QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $795/wk median rent for Sherwood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Sherwood SS
PrimaryGovernment
8.7/10
Corinda SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.