Tamborine Mountain QLD Property Investment

Scenic Rim · 4272 · Score: 64/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.26M
Rental Yield
3.3%
Vacancy Rate
2.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$800/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.13M
Population
8,105
Days on Market
102 days
Annual Growth
13.2%

Tamborine Mountain Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$648/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$104K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Tamborine Mountain QLD Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the median house price of $1,261,148 (sole source: OnTheHouse) is the key figure driving the recommendation.

---

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $1,261,148 (sole source – OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: No data supplied, so we cannot confirm price appreciation or depreciation. - Days on market: Not provided.

Signal: With a high median price and no evidence of recent price movement, buyers should expect a relatively expensive entry point and limited price‑discount opportunities. Sellers can price at the median but must be prepared for potentially longer sales cycles if demand is weak.

---

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: No data. - Weekly rent: No data. - Gross yield: Cannot be calculated without rent figures. - Demand rating: Not supplied.

Implication: The absence of rental metrics prevents a clear assessment of cash‑flow potential. Investors should seek up‑to‑date rental data before committing to a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy.

---

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: No data. - Occupancy: No data. - Estimated annual revenue: Cannot be estimated.

Conclusion: Without STR benchmarks, we cannot determine whether a short‑term rental (STR) or LTR would generate a superior return. Further market research is required.

---

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport / employment base: No information provided.

Drivers/Limiting factors: Because infrastructure and employment data are missing, we cannot identify specific catalysts or constraints for demand in Tamborine Mountain.

---

## 6. Bull Case Given the limited data, the only quantitative anchor is the median price of $1,261,148. If the suburb were to experience:

  • Price appreciation: Even a modest 5 % rise would lift the median to roughly $1.32 million.
  • Improved rental yields: Introducing a weekly rent of $550 would generate a gross yield of about 2.3 % (based on the median price).

These figures illustrate the upside potential, but they remain speculative until concrete rental and growth data emerge.

---

## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantitative Indicator (if available) | |------|----------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data – cannot quantify. | | Single‑employer dependency | Employment base not disclosed – risk cannot be measured. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new dwellings or developments – unknown impact on future oversupply. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | High median price ($1,261,148) means larger loan amounts; any rate rise could pressure cash flow, but exact sensitivity cannot be modelled without rent data. |

---

## 8. The Play - Entry range: Around the sole‑source median of $1,261,148 (use as a reference point, not a guaranteed market price). - Minimum yield target: Unable to set a target without rental income figures; investors should aim for a gross yield that comfortably exceeds their financing cost once rent data become available. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of verified median price from additional sources. 2. Release of vacancy and rental‑rate data for the suburb. 3. Announcement of infrastructure or employment projects. - Recommended strategy: Adopt a hold stance while gathering missing data. If rental yields improve or infrastructure projects are confirmed, consider moving to a buy position; if vacancy rises or price growth stalls, reassess for a potential avoid stance.

---

Bottom line: The current data set limits a full quantitative analysis. The median house price of $1,261,148 (sole source) underpins a neutral Hold recommendation, but investors should obtain reliable rental and infrastructure information before making a definitive acquisition decision.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Active development pipeline (1703 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.1% + 10yr CAGR 3.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (11.9%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (102 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (1703 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green4 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.3 high impact
Days on Market
102 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
800 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.15 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.59 high impact
1yr Price Growth
13.21 medium impact
Population Growth
11.94 high impact
Median Household Income
1508 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
55.99 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
83.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.3 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.8 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

172

2020

316

2021

291

2022

315

2023

609

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4272

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

8,105

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Tamborine Mountain QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Tamborine Mountain. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Tamborine Mountain SS
PrimaryGovernment
7.2/10
Tamborine Mountain SHS
SecondaryGovernment
7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Tamborine Mountain

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Tamborine Mountain.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.