Walloon QLD Property Investment

Scenic Rim · 4306 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.01M
Rental Yield
3.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.1%
Median Weekly Rent
$620/wk
Median Unit Price
$562K
Population
2,305
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
8.0%

Walloon Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$374/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$60K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Walloon QLD Investment Brief

BUY — 3.2% gross yield on a $1,009,400 median.

THE MARKET

Walloon has compounded at 3.3%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $858,147 in 2021 is worth $1,009,400 today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,187,312 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,009,400 | Units: $561,731
  • Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,305 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.1% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $620/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $374/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$60,015/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $32,240/yr (+86% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Walloon station 0.7km away

BULL CASE

If Walloon maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,160,810 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Walloon pull back 10-15% from $1,009,400, with vacancy rising to 3.8% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Yarrabilba (QLD): $911,794 median, 3.7% yield, 19.5% 1yr growth
  • Mount Cotton (QLD): $1,273,505 median, 3.1% yield, 24.1% 1yr growth
  • Mount Nebo (QLD): $1,169,103 median, 1.7% yield, 5.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Walloon presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.2% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $908,460 – $1,110,340
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Active development pipeline (1703 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.3% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (4.2%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.1%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (1703 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.1 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
620 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.27 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.33 high impact
1yr Price Growth
8 medium impact
Population Growth
4.21 high impact
Median Household Income
2114 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
38.58 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
74.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.19 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.69 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

172

2020

316

2021

291

2022

315

2023

609

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4306

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

43,997

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Walloon QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $620/wk median rent for Walloon. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Walloon SS
PrimaryGovernment
4.9/10
Rosewood SHS
SecondaryGovernment
4.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.