Wonga Beach QLD Property Investment
Douglas · 4873 · Score: 50/100 · Hold
Wonga Beach Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Wonga Beach QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.7% gross yield on a $577,689 median.
THE MARKET
Wonga Beach has compounded at 2.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $523,231 in 2021 is worth $577,689 today. Properties are sitting on market for 61 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $637,815 by 2031.
- Median house: $577,689 | Units: $247,519
- Gross yield: 4.7% | Net yield: 3.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,042 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $525/wk | Days on market: 61 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $625/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$100,385/yr
- vs long-term rent: $27,300/yr (+268% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Wonga Beach maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $664,342 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wonga Beach pull back 10-15% from $577,689, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
- - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Yarraman (QLD): $541,826 median, 3.4% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
- Durong (QLD): $513,075 median, 2.6% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth
- Crawford (QLD): $520,869 median, 2.6% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Wonga Beach offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.2%.
- Entry range: $519,920 – $635,458
- Minimum gross yield to target: 5.0%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%
- −Slow market (61 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (322 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
44
2020
67
2021
105
2022
59
2023
47
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4873
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
6,771
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Wonga Beach QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $525/wk median rent for Wonga Beach. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.