Aberfoyle Park SA Property Investment

Onkaparinga · 5159 · Score: 64/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$942K
Rental Yield
3.5%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$625/wk
Median Unit Price
$689K
Population
11,234
Days on Market
20 days
Annual Growth
13.2%

Aberfoyle Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$461.69/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$71K
AI Investment Analysis

Aberfoyle Park SA Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the median house price of $941,688 (sole source: OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated).

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $941,688 (sole source). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

*Signal:* With only a single‑source median price available, we cannot confirm whether the market currently favours buyers or sellers. The price level suggests a relatively high entry cost, but the lack of trend and DOM data limits any stronger conclusion.

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Implication:* Without rental metrics we cannot assess income potential or demand pressure. Investors should obtain local rental data before committing capital.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy rate: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

*Conclusion:* There is insufficient information to compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) performance in Aberfoyle Park.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

*Observation:* The absence of infrastructure and employment data means we cannot identify specific demand drivers or constraints for the suburb.

## 6. Bull Case If future data were to show:

  • Strong infrastructure investment (e.g., new transport links or schools),
  • Robust employment growth in the surrounding region, and
  • Limited new housing supply,

then the median house price could appreciate beyond the current $941,688 level. The exact upside magnitude cannot be quantified without baseline growth rates.

## 7. Risks - Data limitation risk: reliance on a single, unvalidated median price may misrepresent true market value. - Vacancy risk: unknown vacancy rate could affect rental income. - Employer concentration risk: without employment data we cannot gauge exposure to a single large employer. - Supply pipeline risk: no information on upcoming developments; a sudden influx of new homes could pressure prices and yields. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: as with any Australian property market, higher rates could reduce buyer affordability and dampen price growth.

## 8. The Play - Entry range: around the sole‑source median – roughly $900,000 – $980,000 to allow for negotiation bandwidth. - Minimum yield target: investors should seek a gross yield of ≥ 4.5 % once reliable rental figures are obtained. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of peer‑validated median price data. 2. Release of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcements of infrastructure or major employment projects. - Recommended strategy: Treat the suburb as a hold until additional market data (rental returns, growth trends, infrastructure plans) become available. Consider acquiring a property at the lower end of the entry range and monitor the above signals before scaling exposure.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Inner/middle ring location (15.4km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (4489 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (20 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (4489 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green6 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
20 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
625 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.61 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.43 high impact
1yr Price Growth
13.2 medium impact
Population Growth
0.42 high impact
Median Household Income
1801 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
15.4 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
83.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.45 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.95 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

872

2020

1,074

2021

814

2022

839

2023

890

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5159

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

33,635

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Aberfoyle Park SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $625/wk median rent for Aberfoyle Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Thiele Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
6.3/10
Aberfoyle Park High School
SecondaryGovernment
6.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Aberfoyle Park SA Property Market — Median, Growth, Yield | Estait