Aberfoyle Park SA Property Investment
Onkaparinga · 5159 · Score: 64/100 · Hold
Aberfoyle Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Aberfoyle Park SA Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the median house price of $941,688 (sole source: OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated).
## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $941,688 (sole source). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.
*Signal:* With only a single‑source median price available, we cannot confirm whether the market currently favours buyers or sellers. The price level suggests a relatively high entry cost, but the lack of trend and DOM data limits any stronger conclusion.
## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.
*Implication:* Without rental metrics we cannot assess income potential or demand pressure. Investors should obtain local rental data before committing capital.
## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy rate: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.
*Conclusion:* There is insufficient information to compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) performance in Aberfoyle Park.
## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.
*Observation:* The absence of infrastructure and employment data means we cannot identify specific demand drivers or constraints for the suburb.
## 6. Bull Case If future data were to show:
- Strong infrastructure investment (e.g., new transport links or schools),
- Robust employment growth in the surrounding region, and
- Limited new housing supply,
then the median house price could appreciate beyond the current $941,688 level. The exact upside magnitude cannot be quantified without baseline growth rates.
## 7. Risks - Data limitation risk: reliance on a single, unvalidated median price may misrepresent true market value. - Vacancy risk: unknown vacancy rate could affect rental income. - Employer concentration risk: without employment data we cannot gauge exposure to a single large employer. - Supply pipeline risk: no information on upcoming developments; a sudden influx of new homes could pressure prices and yields. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: as with any Australian property market, higher rates could reduce buyer affordability and dampen price growth.
## 8. The Play - Entry range: around the sole‑source median – roughly $900,000 – $980,000 to allow for negotiation bandwidth. - Minimum yield target: investors should seek a gross yield of ≥ 4.5 % once reliable rental figures are obtained. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of peer‑validated median price data. 2. Release of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcements of infrastructure or major employment projects. - Recommended strategy: Treat the suburb as a hold until additional market data (rental returns, growth trends, infrastructure plans) become available. Consider acquiring a property at the lower end of the entry range and monitor the above signals before scaling exposure.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
- +Active market (20 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (4489 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
872
2020
1,074
2021
814
2022
839
2023
890
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5159
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
33,635
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Aberfoyle Park SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $625/wk median rent for Aberfoyle Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.