Balaklava SA Property Investment

Clare and Gilbert Valleys · 5461 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$443K
Rental Yield
5.3%
Vacancy Rate
1.4%
Median Weekly Rent
$450/wk
Median Unit Price
$337K
Population
2,083
Days on Market
25 days
Annual Growth
8.8%

Balaklava Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$535/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$82K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Balaklava SA Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the median house price of approximately $443,424 (pending peer validation). The scorecard (57 / 100) also sits in the “hold” band.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: around $443,424 (not yet cross‑validated). - Growth trend / Days on market: *No data supplied.* - Signal: With a median price that is still being verified and no clear trend data, the market appears neutral. Buyers may find modest negotiation room, while sellers cannot rely on strong price momentum.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *No data supplied.* - Weekly rent: *No data supplied.* - Gross yield: *No data supplied.* - Demand rating: The Investment Scorecard of 57 / 100 suggests moderate demand, but without concrete rental figures investors cannot calculate a reliable yield.

*Implication:* Investors should obtain current vacancy and rent data before committing to a rental strategy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Nightly rate: *No data supplied.* - Occupancy: *No data supplied.* - Estimated annual revenue: *No data supplied.*

*Implication:* In the absence of STR metrics, a long‑term rental (LTR) remains the default approach until local STR performance can be verified.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport / employment base: *No data supplied.*

*Implication:* Without identified infrastructure or major employer information, demand drivers are unclear. Prospective buyers should investigate any upcoming council or state projects that could affect Balaklava.

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## 6. Bull Case If the median house price were to appreciate by 12.5 %, it would rise to approximately $498,855 (12.5 % of $443,424). This scenario assumes:

  • Improved local employment or new infrastructure, and
  • Continued buyer interest that pushes prices above the current median.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (where available) | |------|--------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data – the market could be either tight or oversupplied. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment data – if the suburb relies on one major employer, any downturn could impact demand. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new builds or land releases; a sudden influx of supply could pressure prices and rents. | | Rate sensitivity | As with all Australian property, higher interest rates could reduce buyer affordability and increase vacancy risk. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Around the median house price – roughly $420k – $460k (a ±5 % band centred on $443,424). - Minimum yield target: Aim for a gross yield of 4 %–5 % (typical for regional SA markets) once reliable rent data is obtained. - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price confirmation. 2. Emerging data on vacancy and weekly rent. 3. Announcement of any transport or infrastructure projects. - Recommended strategy: Hold existing positions while monitoring the above signals. If the median price validates near $443k and rental yields reach the 4‑5 % threshold, consider adding to the portfolio. If vacancy rises or new supply is announced, reassess the hold stance.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate capital growth (4.8% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (197 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.4%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (25 days avg)
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (197 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green7 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.4 high impact
Days on Market
25 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
450 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.82 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.64 high impact
1yr Price Growth
8.81 medium impact
Population Growth
0.35 high impact
Median Household Income
1145 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
88.55 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
70.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.28 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.78 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

34

2020

40

2021

42

2022

48

2023

33

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5461

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

2,598

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Balaklava SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $450/wk median rent for Balaklava. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.