Goolwa Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Goolwa SA Investment Analysis
BUY
— $670,000 median with 9.7% 5yr price growth.
THE MARKET
Goolwa recorded 9.7% annual price growth over the past 5 years — a $670,000 house bought in 2019 would be worth approximately $421,737 today. Properties are sitting on the market for 43 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- **Median house:** $670,000 | **Units:** $121,423 - **Gross yield:** 3.9% | **Net yield:** 2.4% - **Vacancy:** 2.2% (improving) | **Rental demand:** High - **5yr price growth:** 9.7%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 10.9%/yr - **Days on market:** 43 (stable)
STR potential: $155/night at 64% occupancy = ~$36,208/yr gross. That's a **39% premium** over long-term rent — but factor in higher management costs and council rules.
BULL CASE
If Goolwa maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $770,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
Notable infrastructure: **Goolwa Oval Recreation Precinct** (completed). Plus 3 more projects in the pipeline.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Goolwa pull back 10-15% from $670,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
Goolwa presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $603,000 – $737,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Goolwa SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $500/wk median rent for Goolwa. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.