Kadina SA Property Investment

Barunga West · 5554 · Score: 54/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$526K
Rental Yield
4.5%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$450/wk
Median Unit Price
$429K
Population
2,944
Days on Market
30 days
Annual Growth
25.6%

Kadina Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$551.06/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$84K
AI Investment Analysis

Kadina SA Investment Brief

HOLD4.5% gross yield on a $526,369 median.

THE MARKET

Kadina has compounded at 2.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $460,721 in 2021 is worth $526,369 today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $601,371 by 2031.

  • Median house: $526,369 | Units: $428,928
  • Gross yield: 4.5% | Net yield: 3.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,944 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $450/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $551/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$84,477/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $23,400/yr (+261% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Kadina maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $605,324 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kadina pull back 10-15% from $526,369, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Mount Burr (SA): $524,000 median, 1.5% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Maitland (SA): $429,038 median, 3.6% yield, 26.2% 1yr growth
  • Napperby (SA): $454,144 median, 2.1% yield, 20.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kadina offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.0%.

  • Entry range: $473,732$579,006
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.8%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (95 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.7% + 10yr CAGR 4.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Moderate supply pipeline (95 approvals)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green8 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
30 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
450 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.72 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.64 high impact
1yr Price Growth
25.64 medium impact
Population Growth
0.59 high impact
Median Household Income
1169 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
134.6 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.45 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.95 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

18

2020

18

2021

15

2022

25

2023

19

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5554

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

5,389

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kadina SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $450/wk median rent for Kadina. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Analyse a Property in Kadina

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Kadina.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.