Kidman Park SA Property Investment

Charles Sturt · 5025 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$970K
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$700/wk
Median Unit Price
$765K
Population
3,874
Days on Market
39 days
Annual Growth
-1.1%

Kidman Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$534/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$82K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Kidman Park SA Investment Brief

BUY — 2.8% gross yield on a $970,000–$1,253,987 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Kidman Park has compounded at 3.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $970,000–$1,253,987 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 39 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $970,000–$1,253,987 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $765,312
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,874 | Owner-occupier rate: 73% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.8% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $700/wk | Days on market: 39 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $534/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$81,853/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $36,400/yr (+125% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Adelaide Metro Train Services Franchise (Under Delivery)
  • North South Corridor (South Australia) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Seaton Park station 2.9km away

BULL CASE

If Kidman Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,523,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kidman Park pull back 10-15% from $1,325,000, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Woodville North (SA): $930,000 median, 3.6% yield, 1.9% 1yr growth
  • Kilburn (SA): $1,085,000 median, 2.9% yield, 31.9% 1yr growth
  • Rosewater (SA): $965,000 median, 3.3% yield, 9.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kidman Park presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.8% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,192,500 – $1,457,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Inner/middle ring location (6.8km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
▲Active development pipeline (5835 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.4% + 10yr CAGR 4.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.5%/yr) driving demand
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (5835 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green5 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
39 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
700 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.41 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.78 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-1.12 medium impact
Population Growth
2.54 high impact
Median Household Income
1710 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
42 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
6.82 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.75 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.25 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,345

2020

1,131

2021

1,091

2022

805

2023

1,463

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5025

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

9,358

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kidman Park SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $700/wk median rent for Kidman Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Findon High School
SecondaryGovernment
5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Kidman Park

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Kidman Park.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.