Marion Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Marion SA Investment Analysis
HOLD
— 3.5% gross yield on a $1,000,000 median.
THE MARKET
Marion recorded 4.2% annual price growth over the past 5 years — a $1,000,000 house bought in 2019 would be worth approximately $814,069 today. Properties are sitting on the market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- **Median house:** $1,000,000 | **Units:** $432,720 - **Gross yield:** 3.5% | **Net yield:** 2.0% - **Vacancy:** 1.1% (improving) | **Rental demand:** Very High - **5yr price growth:** 4.2%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 4.8%/yr - **Days on market:** 30 (stable)
STR potential: $155/night at 64% occupancy = ~$36,208/yr gross. Long-term at $34,840/yr may be simpler with comparable returns.
BULL CASE
If Marion maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,150,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
Notable infrastructure: **Marion Road and Sir Donald Bradman Drive Intersection Upgrade** (completed). Plus 3 more projects in the pipeline.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Marion pull back 10-15% from $1,000,000, with vacancy rising to 2.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
Marion offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $900,000 – $1,100,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Marion SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $670/wk median rent for Marion. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.