Millswood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Millswood SA Investment Analysis
BUY
— 2.3% gross yield on a $1,900,000 median.
THE MARKET
Millswood recorded 5.4% annual price growth over the past 5 years — a $1,900,000 house bought in 2019 would be worth approximately $1,460,665 today. Properties are sitting on the market for 51 days (buyers have some room to negotiate).
- **Median house:** $1,900,000 | **Units:** $457,467 - **Gross yield:** 2.3% | **Net yield:** 0.8% - **Vacancy:** 1.2% (improving) | **Rental demand:** Very High - **5yr price growth:** 5.4%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 6.0%/yr - **Days on market:** 51 (worsening)
STR potential: $155/night at 64% occupancy = ~$36,208/yr gross. Long-term at $44,200/yr may be simpler with comparable returns.
BULL CASE
If Millswood maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,185,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Millswood pull back 10-15% from $1,900,000, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
Millswood presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.3% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,710,000 – $2,090,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Millswood SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Millswood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.