Moana SA Property Investment

Onkaparinga · 5169 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.13M
Rental Yield
3.2%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$695/wk
Median Unit Price
$756K
Population
3,316
Days on Market
20 days
Annual Growth
20.6%

Moana Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$621.69/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$95K
AI Investment Analysis

Moana SA Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the suburb’s 1‑year price growth of 20.6% makes the upside the strongest single driver.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $1,126,000 - Median unit price: $755,945 - 1‑yr price growth: 20.6% - 5‑yr CAGR: 2.8% per year - 3‑yr growth forecast: 13.5%

The market has delivered a rapid 20.6% price rise over the past 12 months and is projected to keep climbing 13.5% over the next three years. With no days‑on‑market data, we cannot gauge how quickly properties are selling, but the strong price momentum signals a seller‑favourable environment today. Buyers should act quickly to lock in current prices before further appreciation.

## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $695 / wk - Gross rental yield: 3.2%

The 3.2% gross yield is modest but aligns with the high capital‑gain environment. Vacancy rate, demand rating and other rental‑market specifics were not provided, so we cannot quantify those factors.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity All short‑term‑rental metrics (nightly rate, occupancy, estimated annual revenue) are not provided. With no data to compare LTR versus STR performance, we recommend focusing on the proven long‑term rental yield of 3.2% until STR information becomes available.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers No specific information on projects, transport upgrades, or major employers was supplied. Consequently we cannot identify concrete demand drivers or constraints beyond the price‑growth figures already noted.

## 6. Bull Case If the 3‑year forecast materialises, the median house price could rise from $1,126,000 by 13.5% to roughly $1,277,810. A similar uplift for units would move the median from $755,945 to about $857,300. Coupled with the existing 3.2% yield, investors could enjoy both capital growth and steady rental income.

## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: No vacancy data – uncertainty around rental occupancy. - Single‑employer dependency: No employment‑base data – cannot assess concentration risk. - Supply pipeline: No information on upcoming housing supply – a surge could pressure yields. - Rate sensitivity: Rising interest rates would increase borrowing costs and could dampen price growth, a generic risk for all Australian property markets.

## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target purchases around the median levels – $1,126,000 for houses and $755,945 for units. - Minimum yield to target: Aim for at least the current 3.2% gross yield; higher yields improve the risk‑adjusted return. - Watch signals: 1. Confirmation of the 13.5% three‑year growth forecast in quarterly price data. 2. Any announced infrastructure or employment projects in Moana. 3. Emerging vacancy or supply data that could affect rental returns. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property now to capture the 20.6% recent price surge, hold for 3‑5 years to ride the forecasted growth, and collect the 3.2% gross rental income while monitoring for any STR opportunities or infrastructure announcements.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Outer suburban location (32.1km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (4489 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (3.3%/yr) driving demand
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (20 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (4489 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green7 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
20 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
695 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.75 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.61 high impact
1yr Price Growth
20.63 medium impact
Population Growth
3.29 high impact
Median Household Income
1527 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.9 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
32.14 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.21 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.71 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

872

2020

1,074

2021

814

2022

839

2023

890

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5169

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

20,086

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Moana SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $695/wk median rent for Moana. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Moana Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
6.4/10
Seaford Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
5.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Moana SA Property Market — Median, Growth, Yield | Estait