Modbury North SA Property Investment

SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Modbury North, SA 5092 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Overall Score: 70/100 — Buy

Modbury North rates as "Buy" due to strong growth fundamentals, tight rental market (0.3% vacancy).

Modbury North sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 70 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the SA market.

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MARKET POSITION

Median house price: $833,000 Median unit price: $261,859 Median weekly rent: $630/week Days on market: 40 days (stable)

Modbury North sits within the mid-market segment in the SA property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 40 days on market, pointing to softer demand conditions.

Comparable suburbs: - Adelaide CBD (SA): Median $948,000, yield 3.6%, 1yr growth 7.7% - Albert Park (SA): Median $880,000, yield 3.7%, 1yr growth 13.5% - Aldinga Beach (SA): Median $790,000, yield 4.0%, 1yr growth 8.2%

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RENTAL MARKET

Gross rental yield: 3.9% Net rental yield: 2.4% Vacancy rate: 0.3% (improving) Rental demand: Very High

The rental market in Modbury North is characterised by very high demand with a vacancy rate of 0.3%, which is well below the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending improving, supporting landlord pricing power.

Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $155 with an estimated occupancy of 64%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $36,208 before expenses. This represents a 11% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $32,760/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.

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GROWTH OUTLOOK

Population growth (5yr): 1.3% Price CAGR (5yr): 11.2% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 12.6% Supply pipeline: Low

Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

If Modbury North maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $957,950 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

At current trajectory (1.3% growth, 0.3% vacancy, 3.9% yield), Modbury North offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.

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RISK ASSESSMENT

Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Low

Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $4,434/month - At 8%: $4,890/month - At 9%: $5,362/month

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Modbury North pull back 10-15% from $833,000, with vacancy rising to 0.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

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LIVEABILITY

Affluence rating: Above Average Safety score: 6.1/10 Walkability: 65/100 Owner-occupied: 30%

Schools: - Modbury North Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Modbury North East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Modbury North West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Modbury North High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10

Modbury North offers a balanced lifestyle proposition with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 30% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.

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RECOMMENDATION — BUY

Modbury North presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels.

Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.

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KEY ACTION ITEMS

1. Shortlist properties in the $749,700 - 916,300 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Modbury North market expertise for off-market opportunities

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.