Monash SA Property Investment

Unincorporated SA · 5342 · Score: 50/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$517K
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$275/wk
Median Unit Price
$391K
Population
1,110
Days on Market
124 days
Annual Growth
15.9%

Monash Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$553/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$85K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Monash SA Investment Brief

HOLD — 2.8% gross yield on a $516,540 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Monash has compounded at 3.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $516,540 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 124 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $516,540 (pending peer validation) | Units: $391,177
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,110 | Owner-occupier rate: 82% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $275/wk | Days on market: 124 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $553/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$84,727/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $14,300/yr (+492% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Berri station 8.1km away

BULL CASE

If Monash maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $594,021 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Monash pull back 10-15% from $516,540, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Glossop (SA): $486,570 median, 2.4% yield, 15.6% 1yr growth
  • Loxton (SA): $439,617 median, 4.9% yield, 16.2% 1yr growth
  • Warooka (SA): $541,968 median, 1.5% yield, 11.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Monash offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $464,886 – $568,194
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.8/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate development activity (24 approvals)

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.6% + 10yr CAGR 5.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −Population decline (-0.2%/yr) — demand headwind
  • −Slow market (124 days avg) — buyer hesitancy

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green2 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
124 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
275 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.57 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.75 high impact
1yr Price Growth
15.87 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.25 high impact
Median Household Income
1488 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
198.14 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
82.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.77 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.27 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4

2020

4

2021

6

2022

5

2023

5

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5342

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

1,110

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Monash SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $275/wk median rent for Monash. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.